Fixing a Blight on Missouri Statutes

We’ve written for years about the failure of Missouri municipalities to focus their development efforts on reviving the moribund parts of their inner cities. Across the state, it seems, leaders in Kansas City and Saint Louis are eager to throw taxpayer cash at developers only to have them build in already-viable neighborhoods. What’s more, studies in Missouri and across the country have noted that these programs do not help create jobs or spur neighborhood investment in the aggregate. Often they simply enrich political cronies. It is time for that to change.

One reform that might make a great deal of difference is in the state’s legislative definition of blight. For the purposes of tax-increment financing, the blight definition is so broad as to be meaningless. One library executive said that under the existing definition, the governor’s mansion could be blighted. There are opportunities for improvement, and we need not look far.

The easiest option is to look at previously considered reforms. In 2002, Missouri Senator Wayne Goode introduced a bill that would have gone a long way in curbing abuses in blight findings. Specifically, Goode’s bill would require that any area subject to a redevelopment plan could only qualify if:

  1. The host municipality—or, for unincorporated areas, the host school district—has low fiscal capacity; or
  2. The census block group or groups (as defined in the most recent decennial census) containing the proposed redevelopment area had high unemployment; or
  3. The municipality, census block group or groups, as defined in the most recent decennial census, containing the proposed redevelopment area was characterized by moderate income.

Goode’s bill defined such terms as “low fiscal capacity,” “high unemployment,” and “moderate income” in ways that were aimed at making sure that development projects only took place in the communities requiring taxpayer assistance and that effectively placed limits on crony capitalism.

Earlier, in January 1999, the Washington University Law Review published a piece by Julie A. Goshorn titled “In a TIF: Why Missouri Needs Tax Increment Financing Reform.” At the end Goshorn advocated for a new definition of blight that, like Goode’s, incorporated requirements for unemployment and poverty. While Goshorn’s reform dealt specifically with the definition of blight—a move favored by this author—she allowed wiggle room by permitting a blight finding if a building in the area was merely unsanitary. Given the lengths that developers, economic development staffers, TIF commissions, and city leaders have gone to broaden the standards of blight, it is likely that they will continue doing so in the future. Based on Goshorn’s original suggestion, the following terms and definitions might be considered for use in statutes and regulations:

(1) “Blighted area,” is an area that satisfies both (a) and (b) below:

(a) Buildings in the area are:

1. Unsanitary, unsafe for living or working;

2. Substantially vacant; or

3. Subject to a crime rate significantly higher than that in other surrounding areas; and

(b) The area in general is characterized by:

1. Pervasive poverty, unemployment, and general distress, as evidenced by

a. At least seventy-five percent of the residents living in the area have incomes below eighty percent of the median income of all residents within the state of Missouri; and,

b. The level of unemployment of persons within the area exceeds one and one-half times the average rate of unemployment for the state of Missouri over the previous twelve months.

Legislators will undoubtedly wrangle over definitions and thresholds for income and unemployment. That debate is welcome. But legislators, whether conservative or liberal, urban or out-state, should recognize by now that the lax language in Missouri statutes regarding blight is draining municipalities of much-needed resources and providing little if any economic benefit.

Restoring Trust through Transparency

On Tuesday, the voters in Boone County, Columbia, Ashland, and Harrisburg went to the polls to decide whether or not to impose new use taxes to fund more government services. As you can see here, voters rejected each proposed tax.

Those decisions are newsworthy on their own, but there was an interesting quote from a Columbia council member regarding the failed proposals. Councilman Matt Pitzer said voters have a natural tendency to reject use-tax measures because voters don’t trust government to spend their tax dollars responsibly. How might trust be restored? According to Pitzer,

We do that by making smart financial and fiscal decisions . . . and being open and transparent in our spending and where the citizens’ tax dollars are going.

I could not agree more, which is why we started the Checkbook Project, which is intended to track the expenditures of each Missouri municipality over the past five years. Notably, when we requested data for the project from Columbia, the city was more than accommodating in providing the data we requested. At no cost to us, we got the information in an easily searchable Excel file. Also notable is that when we made the request of Ashland, the city was going to charge $20.00 for their records—still a pretty reasonable figure, in stark contrast to some of the responses from other municipalities we’ve received to date. (More on those interactions in a later blog post.)

When government asks for more money out of our pockets, we have every right to know what that money will be spent on. Even when policymakers are conscientious in their management of tax dollars, we should remember (per H.L. Mencken) that conscience is merely “the inner voice that warns us that someone might be looking.” When municipalities commit to transparency, they introduce that very possibility, and the expectation of public scrutiny should result in better policy. 

Think Parents Won’t Get the Information They Need To Choose Between Schools? Think Again.

A common concern about school choice is that parents, especially low-income parents, will not have enough information to pick the school that is the best fit for their child. Perhaps this is true in the absence of school choice programs—after all, what’s the point in seeking out information when your only option is the neighborhood school?

New research confirms, however, that school choice gives parents an incentive to become more knowledgeable about different schooling options. A study by Michael F. Lovenheim and Patrick Walsh found “clear evidence that the availability of public school-choice options under NCLB [No Child Left Behind] increased demand for information on school quality.” When parents had the option to transfer their child to another school, internet searches about the schools in their area increased; conversely, when there was no longer a transfer option, searches dropped.

When people say that parents are not informed enough decide among school options, they fail to recognize that school choice can actually encourage parents to gather information and shop around for the best school.

Moreover, state agencies and third-party organizations can help make information on school quality more accessible. Louisiana’s Department of Education launched a website that allows families to compare schools and child care centers via customizable searches.

Show Me KC Schools is a nonprofit organization that helps parents navigate all of their options—public, charter, and private schools—in Kansas City and provides them with the information they need. In an article for US News & World Report last month, Mike McShane described what the organization does to assist parents:

They have an online school finder that allows users to compare and contrast the offerings and performance of different schools. They host a school fair that had over 700 attendees last year. They offer guided school tours that begin with a discussion of what parents are looking for and end with a debrief and conversation with other parents whose children attend the various schools they have visited.

Sure, there will be a learning curve if new school choice programs are introduced, but organizations like Show Me KC Schools can help with the transition.

The bottom line is that school choice empowers parents—it creates an incentive to find out which school will meet their child’s needs and it provides parents with an opportunity to send their child to that school. We should not underestimate parents’ desire to give their kids a better education or the time they are willing to devote to that effort if given the opportunity. 

“Lucky Lindy” vs. Jeff Bezos: Who Is the Better Bet for Missouri?

It may be the biggest and most closely watched competition since Charles Lindbergh – backed by a group of Saint Louis businessmen – won the $25,000 Orteig Prize as the first pilot to cross the Atlantic Ocean. That was 90 years ago, in 1927.

Will Saint Louis (or Kansas City) surprise the business world in winning the Amazon Prize? I speak, of course, of the bidding war to decide what city, suburb, or close-in town – out of 238 contestants – will be selected as the site of Amazon’s second headquarters. In every important way, “HQ2” is supposed to equal its existing headquarters in Seattle. Amazon will announce its choice in the spring of next year. Both of our two biggest metro areas are in the bidding – with enthusiastic support from Gov. Eric Greitens and his team.

The potential payout dwarfs the Orteig prize, but so too do the costs to the cities and states doing the bidding. Amazon says it is prepared to invest about $5 billion of its own money at its new site and create up 50,000 jobs with an average annual compensation of more than $100,000 per job.

In Lindbergh’s case, Saint Louis businessmen put up $15,000 (to his $2,000) to underwrite the cost of building his airplane. As for HQ2, it seems clear that the costs to local and state taxpayers over a period of 15 to 20 years will run into the billions of dollars.

It’s a big and potentially wildly uneven trade-off, beginning with the fact that Amazon cannot guarantee 50,000 sustainable jobs – or even 5,000 jobs or 1,000 jobs. Who is to say Amazon will continue to grow at the same phenomenal pace that it has maintained over the past two decades? In the tech world, many once-hot companies have either fallen into bankruptcy (think Wang Laboratories and Digital Equipment Corporation) or stopped growing and faded into insignificance (think AOL and Yahoo).

Remember that the initial build-out of HQ2 is supposed to take 15 years. That is a long time, and it makes this competition a very different proposition than the Lindbergh flight. Less than three months after getting his final go-ahead from Major Albert B. Lambert (after whom Saint Louis’s airport is named) and other backers, Lindbergh had designed and built his Spirit of St. Louis monoplane and completed his historic flight from New York to Paris.

It is disturbing that city and state officials in Missouri have responded with such rapturous glee to the Amazon bidding – while maintaining that they must, in deference to Amazon’s wishes, remain mum about what they have offered in the way of tax breaks and other subsidies.

Nobody knows what Amazon will look like in 15 or 20 years. In that sense, HQ2 is a multi-billion-dollar pig in a poke. Whatever city wins the Amazon Prize, you may be sure that local and state taxpayers will, for a long time, be deeply in hock to trying to make a go of it.

On Raising the Minimum Wage in Missouri

On December 1, members of the Missouri General Assembly may begin prefiling legislation for consideration in the upcoming legislative session, which begins January 3, 2018. Not surprisingly, it looks like a bill will be put forward to increase the state’s minimum wage. As Missourinet reports, State Rep. Brandon Ellington (D) plans to offer such a bill. When Rep. Ellington was asked how he’d respond to critics of the bill, he responds, “I would tell them to look at states like Washington D.C., where the minimum wage is $12 an hour or Seattle, where the minimum is to be up to $12 an hour…Or any of the other states that have increased their minimum wage that has not seen an exodus of corporations and companies.”

 Let’s do just what Rep. Ellington has suggested. Let’s look at the evidence from these places. Ellington is correct in saying there hasn’t been an exodus of “corporations or companies,” but there have been some negative outcomes.

 Washington D.C.

 D.C. passed the “Fair Shot Minimum Wage Amendment Act of 2016.” The amendment increases the district’s minimum wage to $15 by 2020 and then sets annual increases that are pegged to changes in the Consumer Price Index. Earlier this year, the Office of the Chief Financial Officer for the D.C. mayor’s office released a study that estimated the impact this will have on the city, and the findings aren’t anything to be bullish about.

 As one would expect, wages will increase. By 2021, the study’s authors estimate that “the average resident will gain roughly $5,100 more (20 percent higher) in wages as of 2021, but approximately 2 percent of impacted residents will experience job loss; this job loss estimate increases to about 3.4 percent by 2026.” Additionally, the study found that “average citywide prices will increase by roughly 0.2 percent and businesses will experience a 2.3 percent average reduction in profits as a result of this policy.”

 Seattle

The Seattle Minimum Wage Ordinance went into effect in 2015. From 2015 to 2016, the minimum wage increased from $9.47 to $13. This is roughly a 37 percent increase in a short amount of time. The ordinance has different provisions for different types of employers, but will gradually increase the minimum wage to $15. Earlier this year, a team of researchers from the University of Washington released a paper on the impact thus far. When the minimum wage went up, employers did what we would expect them to do; they reduced the hours of employees. The researchers suggest the increased minimum wage resulted in a reduction of 3.5 million working hours per calendar quarter. Low-wage jobs (jobs paying under $19 per hour) went down 6.8 percent.

 As economist David Neumark noted in his 2012 policy study for the Show-Me Institute, “Should Missouri Raise its Minimum Wage?,” there are clear tradeoffs with this policy proposal. Raising the minimum wage increases the wages for a select portion of the population: those earning roughly minimum wage who manage to not have their hours cut (or their jobs eliminated altogether). This increase comes at the expense of the low-skilled workers who are not able to enter the labor market or lose their jobs. This issue is particularly concerning in our border cities, where higher pay may attract people from neighboring suburbs in other states. As these individuals enter the job market, they may take jobs away from low-skill Missourians living in Saint Louis and Kansas City.

 The real question for Missouri lawmakers is: Do you want to increase unemployment for some Missourians to provide others with higher wages? 

 

School Choice for Me, but Not for Thee: Part 6

Over the past few weeks, I have discussed four reservations some parents have about private school choice programs.

Reservation number 1: School choice may hurt traditional public schools.

Reservation Number 2: School choice gives the public less control of the school system.

Reservation Number 3: School choice may lower the quality of private schools.

Reservation Number 4: School choice does not solve the larger problem of concentrated poverty.

For each of these concerns, I noted there was some inconsistency in the thinking behind them. Often, critics of school choice set up straw-men arguments or hold school choice programs to an impossible standard.

During my study, I didn’t push parents on these issues. My goal was to hear their concerns. But a funny thing happened as parents took turns speaking; several parents recognized their own apparent hypocrisy. They sent their children to private schools, but wouldn’t support a program that would enable families with less means to do the same.

The truth is, these parents are not alone. We regularly see people opposing school choice while sending their kids to private schools. Politicians, even those who oppose school choice, often send their children to private schools. Recently, actor Matt Damon was taken to task for the same thing.

While there may be a place and time to call these “hypocrites” out, I worry that name-calling and hand-wringing will do little to bridge the divide and win people over. It is not hypocritical to want the best for your child and to want a robust public education system that effectively serves all children. All of us want this.

That’s why it is so important for school choice supporters to effectively make their case. We need to show how school choice can provide a quality education system for all kids while also providing opportunities we want for our own children. This blog series was written for this purpose, and I hope it has provided useful responses to some of the important reservations held by parents who oppose school choice. 

Ignore the Gimmicks. Here Are the Reasons Amazon Should Come to Missouri.

My colleague Patrick Tuohey has talked at length about the stunts some have pulled to try and get Amazon to bring its second headquarters, or “HQ2,” to Missouri. That silliness, paired with the tax incentives that almost certainly accompany both Kansas City’s and Saint Louis’s Amazon proposals, give off a whiff of desperation—desperation that, frankly, is warranted for some politicians, but unwarranted with regard to the fundamentals of the regions themselves.

I also take exception to the Coastal notion that our cities are flatly uncompetitive, and the specific suggestion that Saint Louis is some charity case. In fact, there are very strong business cases for Amazon to consider both Kansas City and Saint Louis that have nothing to do with charity. And with respect, if Amazon doesn’t recognize and exploit those advantages, other companies will.

Make no mistake: I would love to see Amazon come to Kansas City and/or Saint Louis, and Show-Me Institute analysts have written about the advantages that Missouri’s biggest cities bring to the table for literally years now.

This isn’t to gloss over the cities’ problems, either, whether it be crime, governmental mismanagement, regressive taxation, or a whole host of other issues discussed on this site in the past. Too often city and state leaders try to hit home runs with tax incentives and paper-thin kabuki PR campaigns to compensate for the fact that they don’t consistently hit the singles and doubles that actually lead to economic wins—keeping residents safe, maintaining infrastructure, treating businesses fairly, and the like.

But no city, anywhere, is perfect; all cities fall short at times, and the process of local government reform and improvement is a continual effort.

What Kansas City and Saint Louis are world-class at—intermodality, centrality, cost, and livability—accentuate the fact that both cities, jointly and separately, should be in Amazon’s final conversations about advantageous sites. Two terrific papers written for SMI by Wendell Cox (the most recent being Kansas City’s, published last year) reiterate this truth and are available via the links below.

Whether Amazon comes to Missouri certainly remains to be seen, and the odds are against it. But win or lose, Kansas City, Saint Louis, and Missouri have a lot to offer to Amazon and companies like it, now and in the future. It’s those advantages that will direct these cities’ success going forward—not Amazon, not tax incentives, and certainly not political gimmicks.

KANSAS CITY–Genuinely World Class: A Competitive Analysis by showmesunshine on Scribd

HOUSING AFFORDABILITY: The Saint Louis Competitive Advantage by showmesunshine on Scribd

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