Even More on Missouri Film Tax Credits

Frédéric Bastiat
Frédéric Bastiat

My recent op-ed against film tax credits was published as a guest commentary in the Columbia Missourian today! As regular readers of this blog will know, it was also discussed by Steve Walsh on MissouriNet and by David Nicklaus on Mound City Money last week.

Over the weekend, I thought a lot about the arguments that were raised in favor of the film tax credit program. I’d like to take this opportunity to respond to them.

(1) The debate over the appropriateness of film tax credits is a natural application of the general principle of the parable of “The Broken Window” by Frédéric Bastiat (1850), which was later developed in Economics in One Lesson by Henry Hazlitt (1946).

I am impressed with the sheer amount of commentary generated by my recent blog posts arguing against film tax credits in Missouri. I have heard from people who worked on the Up In the Air set, professors of film, and representatives of the Missouri Film Commission, among others. In his book Economics in One Lesson, Hazlitt explicitly warns that this will happen (emphasis mine):

The group that would benefit by such policies, having such a direct interest in them, will argue for them plausibly and persistently. It will hire the best buyable minds to devote their whole time to presenting its case. And it will finally either convince the general public that its case is sound, or so befuddle it that clear thinking on the subject becomes next to impossible.

To paraphrase Bastiat and Hazlitt, government should consider ce qu’il voit et ce qu’il ne voit pas au même temps when it is deciding policy. In plain English, this means that it should consider “the big picture” instead of only one group of people when forming policy that affects everyone. Hazlitt thinks that this concept is so important that this is his “one lesson,” further reduced to a single sentence (emphasis mine):

The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate but at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups.

Here’s how this relates to the film tax credit program. If we only consider that which we see, ce qu’on voit, then the tax credit programs are considered to benefit everyone. The recipients of the tax credits do assuredly benefit, as they testify in their commentary (Econdiva provided an estimate that the producers of Up in the Air spent nearly $12 million in the state). Bastiat and Hazlitt warn that it is dangerous to ignore the hidden costs, ce qu’il ne voit pas, that affect everybody. Missouri should not focus solely on the benefits of bringing filmmakers to Missouri and ignore the cost of the program to taxpayers.

While certain public policies would in the long run benefit everybody (e.g., eliminating the earnings tax or commercial property tax surcharges), other policies would benefit one group only at the expense of other groups. Film tax credit programs fall into the latter category. When tax revenue is spent on film productions, taxpayers cannot spend that money in alternative ways, such as education or infrastructure; they face an opportunity cost that is equal to the amount of the subsidy.

(2) There is not enough demand in Missouri for the film industry to exist in Missouri without a considerable level of government assistance.

In their comments, both Cat Cacciatore and Dave Rutherford provided proof of this point — they both travel out of state because there isn’t enough demand for film production work in Missouri (even in today’s status quo, in which we offer a $4.5 million tax credit). If an individual decides to live in a location in which there is not enough demand for him to work full-time, why should the taxpayer have to subsidize his employment?

Let’s say that I am a trained lobster farmer and I choose to relocate to Missouri, which is at a competitive disadvantage for lobster farming because it is very far from the ocean. I have two options: (1) I can petition the government to subsidize my employment; or, (2) I can transfer my knowledge, skills, and abilities to an industry for which there is demand. I believe that the second option is better because it does not burden taxpayers.

Most Missourians work in industries that don’t have targeted tax credits. Their jobs exist because there is enough demand for them. The demand for bakers, babysitters, yoga instructors, doctors, lawyers, and free-market research analysts in Missouri is high enough so that their employers choose to pay for their jobs without government assistance.

Furthermore, if the state stops subsidizing these jobs, then it has more workers available to do other kinds of work. In the comments, Josh Smith notes that:

There is not some fixed “pool of jobs” which can only be expanded by spending tax dollars in the right way. There are many different types and amounts of work that can be done to earn a wage, specialization and trade tend to lead to a more efficient economy.

(3) The $4.5 million applies to state tax revenues, not total expenditures.

I realize that there is some confusion here, and I admit that I should have stated this more clearly in my op-ed. State tax revenues and total expenditures are different numbers. To an out-of-state production crew like Reitman’s, Missouri issues a tax credit to for up to 30 percent of the amount that they spend in state. This means that they get $3 million back if they spend $10 million in Missouri (which they can turn around and sell, because these tax credits are fungible). Given the low multiplier for the film industry (described herein), there is no way that the state would be able to recover that amount of money, whether it be through sales taxes (4.225 percent) or personal income taxes.

(4) These programs do not result in permanent economic activity.

As Sarah Brodsky points out, the purchases cited are single-time expenses (e.g., $30,000 for ice, $185,000 for set dressing items). Few permanent jobs, if any, are created when a filmmaker comes in to the state, works on a film for a finite period of time, and then goes back to California.

Additionally, according to “The Economic Impact of the UK Film Industry,” a 2007 study by Oxford Economics, the film industry has a multiplier of only 2.0. This is lower than the multiplier for the economy average, and indicates that the indirect impacts on employment and output from the film industry are not very far-reaching.

(5) Missouri should leave filmmaking to states that have a comparative advantage in it.

Why is it important that Missouri try to compete in the national or global marketplace in filmmaking? I disagree that states like Missouri should focus on developing industries for which they are at a competitive disadvantage. Missouri would be better off if it focused on the products and services that it produces best (e.g., Budweiser beer, hog farming, mining limestone, manufacturing) and then traded with other states. I agree with Josh Smith that the statement “Other states are doing it, so Missouri should too” is an insufficient reason. He observes:

If other states want to spend their residents’ tax dollars to attract filmmakers, and the result is that Missourians (1) are still able to get the benefits of the product by paying to see the movie (perhaps more cheaply if the tax credits are spent in making the film more affordable, whatever that might mean) and (2) don’t have to spend our tax money to entice the film’s production to locate here then we have a few obvious benefits.

Also, the Michigan economy is in terrible shape! Why would Missouri want to model its tax policies after Michigan’s, even when legislators there are already discussing discontinuing the program? Right now, Michigan has a unemployment rate of 15.3 percent, which is the highest in the country. (By comparison, Missouri’s current unemployment rate is 9.5 percent, which is below the national average of 10 percent). Even before the recession sharpened, Michigan had the highest rate; in September 2008, it was 8.9 percent.

As its comparative advantage, California has more sunlight than the Midwest, which allows for longer shooting hours, as well a variety of landscape types within driving distance, which can stand in for locales around the world. (Remember how Austin Powers remarked, “You know what’s remarkable? That England looks in no way like Southern California!” while driving on an “English” country road in Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me?)

(6) Subsidized industries have difficulty weaning themselves off government assistance.

When a state coddles an industry that does not have a competitive advantage (a so-called “infant industry”), the industry tends to remain dependent on that aid. Industries that are subsidized are not subject to the same competitive pressures as those that are unsubsidized, and they consequently do not have an incentive to innovate. In “The Case For Free Trade,” Milton and Rose Friedman describe some additional negative implications of these infant industries.

The infant industry argument is a smoke screen. The so-called infants never grow up. Once imposed, tariffs are seldom eliminated. Moreover, the argument is seldom used on behalf of true unborn infants that might conceivably be born and survive if given temporary protection; they have no spokesmen. It is used to justify tariffs for rather aged infants that can mount political pressure.

“I Come From a Country That Raises Corn and Cotton”

Kevin Horrigan confirms my suspicion that the idea for a state dog was thought up by some schoolchildren. Several of Missouri’s symbols had their start as class projects, and the Newfoundland proposal continues that trend.

Besides serving as convenient research topics for fourth graders, state symbols appeal to people in general because of the shared experiences they represent. Politicians have known this for a while. Congressman William D. Vandiver mentioned some features of the state to elicit listeners’ sympathy in his famous speech:

I come from a country that raises corn and cotton, cockleburs and Democrats; and frothy eloquence neither convinces nor satisfies me. I’m from Missouri, and you have got to show me.

Vandiver apparently thought that people would associate those things with the state back in 1899. Clearly, such associations change over time. Cotton is no longer the first thing that comes to mind when people think of Missouri, and our state flower is the white hawthorn, not the cocklebur. Legislators might be more cautious about approving new symbols if they considered how obsolete the symbols may become. Just as no one would call out the cocklebur in a speech today, future fourth graders may laugh about our state invertebrate or dessert.

Now I Know What To Wear When I Go Skiing This Winter

Why the long face, North Face? I’ll be going on my annual ski trip later this winter, and now I know what clothes to buy for the trip. Hint: It ain’t gonna’ be anything from The North Face. Rest assured, I will stop by Ladue Pharmacy to pick up some apparel from The South Butt. I honestly see no way on God’s powder-covered earth that this new St. Louis company is not a totally legitimate enterprise, under rules for parody or anything else. So, at least I now know how to spend my money.

Health Care Reform and Constitutional Limits

Among the elements of the health bill being considered by Congress is a requirement that every adult would either have to purchase a health insurance policy or face punitive fines to be collected by the Internal Revenue Service. There has been widespread debate in legal circles about whether the courts would uphold such a requirement, but lawmakers in several states are trying to do what they can to insulate their citizens from such a requirement. In Missouri, state Sen. Jane Cunningham has already persuaded half of her colleagues to cosponsor Senate Joint Resolution 25, an amendment to the state Constitution that would recognize the citizens’ right to decide for themselves whether they will participate in any health care system.

Under this amendment, the government would be denied the authority to prevent citizens from offering or accepting direct payment for health care services, and it would not be permitted to substantially limit the purchase or sale of health insurance in private health care systems. In addition to recognizing that this is a sort of common-sense freedom that ought to be enshrined in the Constitution, the proponents of SJR 25 are aware that state constitutions are permitted to afford liberties above and beyond those secured under the U.S. Constitution, and that there is a possibility the courts might find that even a federal statute cannot violate those additional rights.

This proposed amendment has sparked the interest of some in the media, including an article from the St. Louis Beacon (authored by William Freivogel, director of the School of Journalism at Southern Illinois University–Carbondale) with a headline suggesting that, if passed, SJR 25 would itself violate the U.S. Constitution. I quickly posted a rejoinder in the comment section of that article, but I felt it would be worthwhile to restate in this forum the points I made in those comments.

There are four major constitutional issues raised by the potential federal health insurance mandate and Sen. Cunningham’s proposed amendment: 1) Does the proposed law fit within the powers that the Constitution gives to Congress? 2) Does the proposed law infringe upon powers reserved to the states by the Tenth Amendment? 3) Does the requirement to buy health insurance unconstitutionally infringe upon the individual liberties secured to American citizens under the First, Fifth, and Ninth Amendments? And, 4) Does the Supremacy Clause allow for the enforcement of a federal statute even if that statute conflicts with individual rights protected under a state constitution? I’ll address these points in order.

As we all remember from high school, congressional authority is limited to those powers explicitly granted by the Constitution. In this case, the question would be whether the Constitution gives Congress the authority to punish citizens for refusing to purchase health insurance.

Those backing the bill suggest that this authority is part of part of Congress’ power “to regulate commerce … among the several states[.]” It is true that courts have generally interpreted this power very broadly, resulting in the decision that a farmer named Filburn was bound by agricultural regulations even though he was not taking his grain to market, as well as the decision that Angel Raich was subject to federal drug laws even though her medical marijuana was homegrown and neither bought nor sold.

But courts have also recognized limits to congressional authority under the Commerce Clause. In U.S. v. Lopez, the Supreme Court held that the Commerce Clause did not permit Congress to create a federal law banning possession of firearms in a school zone. In U.S. v. Morrison, the court struck down a law that addressed the subject of gender-based violent crime. The primary reason that the court struck down the laws in Lopez and Morrison was that the subjects Congress sought to regulate lacked a clear impact on commerce among the states.

While much of the health insurance industry is handled within the bounds of individual states (it is very unusual to be able to purchase insurance from a company in a state other than the one in which you are domiciled), I believe that courts will be inclined to find that health insurance as a whole is an issue with a sufficient connection to interstate commerce to permit congressional regulation. But, if Congress passes a bill mandating that individuals must either buy health insurance or face financial sanctions, courts will have to answer a very specific question: Does the power to regulate interstate commerce give Congress the authority to penalize citizens who do not wish to engage in commerce? As Prof. Randy Barnett pointed out at a recent Heritage Foundation debate, the Supreme Court has never faced such a question, so we cannot be certain how it will be answered. I tend to agree with Barnett that the Court’s response will likely hinge on the solicitor general’s ability to explain which aspects of citizens’ lives (if any) would remain beyond the reach of congressional regulation if the Court permitted these mandates to be enforced.

One of the law professors cited by Freivogel argued that even without relying on the Commerce Clause, authority for the health insurance mandate could be found in Congress’ power “to lay and collect taxes … [to] provide for the … general welfare of the United States[.]” I disagree. While this provision might permit the creation of a tax-based public health insurance system like Medicare that all workers pay into, this is not what is anticipated in the insurance mandate under consideration, which is neither tax-based nor public. Nor would the alleged “tax” be collected from all workers. Furthermore, even if the fees for failing to purchase health insurance were classified as a tax, Congress is specifically denied the authority to impose capitation taxes “unless in proportion to the census,” a requirement that this proposal does not seem to meet.

Assuming the courts were to determine that Congress does have the general authority to impose a health insurance mandate, the next question would be whether the issue should be reserved to the states under the Tenth Amendment. While Congress has for decades been active on the subject of health care, this does not necessarily imply that Congress may remove state governments’ ability to decide whether their citizens should be punished for failing to purchase health insurance. In fact, this is an issue that several states have previously dealt with, in which at least one state (Massachusetts) has adopted such a mandate and a number of other states have considered — yet refrained from — doing the same. Federal courts have previously been very willing to permit congressional interference even in areas that were traditionally the sole province of the states, but considering the current ideological composition of the Supreme Court, it is possible (although, admittedly, unlikely) that a majority might take this opportunity to redefine (or restore) the balance of power between the federal government and the states.

Most of the arguments I’ve heard so far regarding the proposed health insurance mandate have neglected to address whether it might violate the First, Fifth, or Ninth Amendments, but I think this is an oversight. The Supreme Court has previously recognized that the Constitution protects citizens’ rights to associate with others of their choosing, to enter into contracts, to make their own decisions regarding health care, and, of course, their right to privacy. A violation of any one of these rights could be sufficient to invalidate the health insurance mandate.

While some people may not carry health insurance because it is unaffordable, many choose not to purchase health insurance. Some people’s religions may not permit the use of modern medicine, while others may not believe it to be effective. Still others are simply confident enough in their propensity for health that they are willing to risk the costs of illness or injury in order to direct their money to concerns that they believe to be more pressing. And there are some who, recognizing that most people pay far more to insurance companies than they are ever likely to need for their own treatment costs, would prefer to self-insure by creating their own health fund. For each of these people, a congressional directive to purchase a health insurance policy would mean giving up a huge amount of money — as well as a significant amount of privacy — committing themselves to a contract for goods and services that they do not want, and in some cases may be prohibited from using.

There is a principle in American law that says the government may not punish someone for exercising a constitutional right, and neither may it offer a benefit on condition of the citizen’s willingness to refrain from exercising a constitutional right. In the case of an individual health insurance mandate, the government would be telling its citizens that if they choose not to associate with an insurance company by entering into a contract under which they will be required to pay large sums of money while also disclosing private information about their health, they will be subject to very large fines. I think that this is clearly an infringement of some, if not all, of the constitutional rights listed above.

Unfortunately, establishing an infringement of rights does not end the analysis. In fact, the Supreme Court has long permitted infringement of these kinds of liberty, as long as the government could advance what the court considered to be a sufficiently important interest in doing so. In the case of the individual health insurance mandate, the goal advanced by the government would be to bring about slightly lower insurance premiums and, thus, to increase the number of people with access to health care. This is just a hunch, but I suspect that courts will not find this interest sufficiently compelling to justify forcing citizens to purchase coverage that they do not want and may have no intention of using, particularly when doing so necessarily requires an invasion of their privacy.

My final point is that if the courts find that the U.S. Constitution does not afford citizens protection from being forced to participate in a health care system, the courts will have to decide whether the Supremacy Clause permits a federal statute to be applied in such a way that it violates an individual freedom recognized by a state constitution. As I pointed out in my first comment, it is very possible — perhaps even likely — that the courts will decide that these state constitutional amendments do not bind the federal government. It is important to note, however, that this sort of holding would not strike these provisions down as “unconstitutional.” Rather, it would simply prevent their application against the federal government — perhaps foiling the hopes of the state constitutions’ drafters, but certainly not preventing the effectiveness of the provision against state governments and their subdivisions.

Film Tax Credits Don’t Bring Lasting Jobs or Significant Revenue Gains

The new Jason Reitman film, Up in the Air, premiered at the Tivoli Theatre in University City last month. Many are using the event as an opportunity to promote film tax credits, to be used as a means of bringing more film productions to Missouri. Currently, the state offers a film production tax credit for up to 35 percent of the amount spent in Missouri for activities related to film production, up to $4.5 million. Although reducing tax burdens is generally a good idea, there are several reasons to oppose tax credits targeted to filmmakers.

States tend to spend more revenue by attracting filmmakers with tax credits than the filmmakers generate while working in the state. For an example of what not to do, Missouri should look to Wisconsin, which offers a refundable tax credit of 25 percent for all production-related activities, as well as the use of state-owned buildings and locations free of charge. When Johnny Depp and Christian Bale filmed Public Enemies in the state capitol building in Madison, the state lost money. According to the Wisconsin State Journal, the state paid $4.6 million to the filmmakers in credits, even though the film generated an estimated $270,000 in state taxes. Furthermore, filmmakers can frequently claim more than they paid in taxes, because refundable tax credits function like grants.

Additionally, this economic activity is short-lived. As soon as the filmmakers complete their shoot, they pack up their sets and leave the state. Certainly, many area residents are cast as extras in these films, but these jobs are both low-wage and temporary. According to the casting call for Up in the Air, extras were compensated only $7.05 per hour (before taxes), and they were asked to work for just one day. If the state were truly focused on creating productive, long-term jobs, it would target activities that are more permanent than film shoots. Rather than offering these film tax credit programs, Missouri should encourage employers to create jobs that are better compensated and longer lasting.

There are also fundamental downsides to targeted tax credits in general, not only those that target filmmakers. These programs reinforce the idea that government should be able to pick and choose which economic activities may occur within its borders. Government officials should not have the role of deciding who wins and who loses in the marketplace; they should allow businesses to succeed or to fail as a result of their own efforts, and the preferences of consumers.

Furthermore, targeted tax credits establish a system in which government favors certain businesses over others. These programs force every non-favored business to compete at a comparative disadvantage, creating inequality. Government policy should not prefer filmmaking over hog farming, for example, simply because one is considered to be more glamorous. This sort of favoritism breeds corruption, because it encourages all businesses within a state to seek the favor of their elected officials and solicit the government for special treatment.

There are ways to structure tax policy that would encourage job creation and also maintain a level playing field. If the government reduced or eliminated the commercial property tax surcharge or the earnings tax in Saint Louis, for example, it would decrease the overall cost of labor and employers could hire more people.

I understand why Midwestern states offer tax credits to filmmakers: They want to attract celebrities. Certainly, it’s exciting for the hoi polloi to recognize their local haunts on the big screen and to spot celebrities like George Clooney and Johnny Depp. Rather than competing with other star-struck states, however, Missouri should leave filmmaking to states that specialize in it, like California, and then realize gains from interstate trade. If Missouri wanted to take part in a red-carpet film premiere, it would make much more economic sense to provide the Michelob than to give away tax money in exchange for the “privilege” of hosting the event.

Christine Harbin is a research analyst with the Show-Me Institute, a Missouri-based think tank.

 

Horrible Stuff Up and Down New Federal Spending Bill

This is just a depressing AP article on federal budget expenditures, from beginning to end. This has everything you need to make you sick, unless you love the idea of going deeper into debt while giving up your freedoms little by little.

Thank God the employees of the federal government got their pay raises. I was definitely worrying that millions of government bureaucrats would not get a raise during the recession, while millions of others lose their jobs completely. Who cares that there has not been a cost of living increase? Let’s give them one anyway!

Federal workers would receive pay increases averaging 2 percent, with people in areas with higher living costs receiving slightly higher increases.

Do you love earmarks? Well, it’s got earmarks!

The measure contains 5,224 pet projects for lawmakers totaling $3.9 billion, according to Taxpayers for Common Sense, a Washington-based watchdog group.

And don’t worry, Missouri got ours, too. I love Kit Bond, and would absolutely vote for him if he was running for reelection, but why can’t Kansas City pay for its own community center?

[…] Christopher Bond of Missouri, pulled down 21 projects worth $32.5 million from the some portion of the bill, including $2.5 million for a community center in Kansas City.

Don’t take that personally, KC — if they had cited a St. Louis project, I would have gone with that instead. Hey, while we are at it, let’s stick it to the children:

It also would phase out a D.C. school voucher program favored by Republicans […]

And I won’t do anything but quote the article when it comes to Missouri’s other senator’s vote:

The Democrats opposed were Sens. Evan Bayh of Indiana, Russ Feingold of Wisconsin, and Claire McCaskill of Missouri — who voted “no” only after Lieberman arrived to ensure the bill would advance.

I realize this kind of vote planning happens all the time in politics, but still. … This entire story makes me need a drink.

Become a Friend of Freedom

We don’t generally use Show-Me Daily to ask for your support — instead, we keep it consistently updated with new observations about public policy and economics, and encourage the lively discussions in our comment threads. It’s worth noting, however, that this blog is made possible by individual contributions from people like you. The end of the year is rapidly approaching, and a small donation to support our work would be a tremendous help in furthering the cause of freedom in Missouri.

The economy has been tough lately, as politicians respond to fiscal crisis by spending ever larger amounts of tax revenue and still clamor for more. It’s important to be frugal, but we must remind you that although the economy is still stalling, our work in fighting for fiscal sanity is not in recession. It’s more important than ever that friends of freedom stand against the latest tide of public opinion — against economic illiteracy and government handouts, against higher taxes and even higher spending, against the kind of burdensome regulation and red tape that hampers market growth and prevents price mechanisms from allocating labor and capital efficiently. If we want the economy to recover, it will take a powerful voice calling for economic freedom. The more people who support the Show-Me Institute’s efforts, the louder that voice will grow.

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So, during this holiday season, if you’re trying to find a gift for the person who has everything, try an investment in freedom. The rest of our prosperity hinges on that freedom. It’s also the kind of gift you can give to yourself.

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Despite Drawbacks, Raw Milk Law Better in Missouri Than Some Other States

Sting operations against dairy farmers notwithstanding, Missouri has better raw milk policy than some states do. For example, Wisconsin bans all raw milk sales, including the practice of selling shares in a cow in exchange for future delivery of milk. (Selling raw milk from a farm is legal in Missouri.) A few Wisconsin farmers do sell milk through cow-shares — that’s what it’s called — because they successfully petitioned state regulators for exceptions to the law.

And Oregon restricts raw milk sales to farms raising three or fewer cows. One blogger writes that the regulations prompted her to arrange for some of her cows to live on a neighbor’s land. Oregon also forbids dairy farmers to advertise raw milk; for that reason, the section of her website for raw milk customers is password protected.

Meat in School Lunches: Good Enough for Government Purposes

USA Today looks at meat in the National School Lunch Program and finds that it doesn’t compare favorably to the meat in fast food restaurants. The USDA accepts blemished meat that the restaurant chains would reject, and the private companies conduct better tests for bacteria, too.

A professor of medicine explains why the USDA’s lax standards matter:

Morris, who used to run the USDA office that investigates food-borne illnesses, says the department’s purchases of meat that doesn’t satisfy higher-end commercial standards are especially worrisome because the meat goes to schools. It’s not just that children are more vulnerable to food-borne illnesses because of their fledgling immune systems; it’s also because there’s less assurance that school cafeteria workers will cook the meat well enough to kill any pathogens that might slip through the USDA’s less stringent safety checks.

There are two lessons to be learned here. First, advocates who focus on the supposed benefits of local vegetables (like the Farm to School supporters in Columbia) have misplaced priorities. It would be better for schools to serve imported produce with safer meat than local produce with lower-quality meat. Schools need to obtain safe food and not allow themselves to be distracted by geographic preferences.

Second, private businesses often hold themselves to stricter standards than the government would like to impose. It follows that a state-licensed day care provider or interior decorator won’t necessarily do a better job than someone without the license.

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