The Three-Legged Stool of Taxes with David Stokes

Susan Pendergrass speaks with David Stokes, Director of Municipal Policy at the Show-Me Institute, about A Free-Market Guide for Missouri Cities, Towns, and Villages, Part Two: Taxation. They discuss Missouri’s over-reliance on sales taxes and harmful local income taxes, particularly in St. Louis and Kansas City. Stokes emphasizes the need for a “three-legged stool” approach to municipal funding, where sales taxes, property taxes, and user fees work together to create a more stable and sustainable financial system for Missouri’s municipalities.

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Timestamps

00:00 Introduction to Municipal Policy Expertise
02:52 Understanding Municipal Policy and Governance
06:12 Local Taxation: Sources and Implications
09:03 The Role of User Fees in Municipal Finance
12:10 Sales Tax Dynamics and Special Taxing Districts
14:47 The Impact of Tax Incentives on Local Development
17:54 Challenges of Property and Personal Property Taxes
20:58 Sales Tax Pooling: A Unique Approach
24:08 Conclusion and Future Directions in Municipal Policy

Produced by Show-Me Opportunity

Earmarks Come to St. Louis County

The St. Louis County Council just passed a bill to give $3.2 million in tax money to privately owned farms in the county. The intent may be noble—addressing a perceived lack of options for healthy food in the northern part of the county—but the policy is bad and the precedent it could set is even worse.

Somebody much smarter than I am is going to have to explain to me how sending this money to a private entity does not violate this section of Missouri’s constitution:

No county, city or other political corporation or subdivision of the state shall be authorized to lend its credit or grant public money or property to any private individual, association or corporation . . .

Stick with me here. This is county tax money being granted to a private business. Unless words no longer have meaning, this move by the council is legally dubious at best.

There has long been a fight about earmarks in the federal government. With earmarks, members of Congress can simply request that funding be added in for projects they wish, outside of the standard merit-based or competitive funds allocation process. This money for farms in north St. Louis County is an earmark, for all intents and purposes. Yes, it went through the legislative process, but it has not been subject to any of the other rules for how local governments spend money, such as competitive bidding.

Turning St. Louis County’s annual budget of more than a billion dollars into a grab bag of pet projects is the last thing we need for local government in Missouri.  I hope the county executive vetoes this bill and I hope his veto is sustained.

SB 4: Missouri’s Energy Challenge and the Push for CWIP Reform

Senate Bill 4 (SB 4) is a massive, 133-page omnibus bill that flew through the Missouri Legislature and has now been signed into law by the governor. One key policy SB 4 addresses is amending the Construction Works in Progress Law (CWIP), which was approved by voters in 1976.

SB 4 allows utilities to recover construction costs gradually during the construction phase, rather than waiting until the project is complete and operational. This will only be explicitly allowed for natural gas projects, although there is potentially a pathway available for nuclear and other resources through the Missouri Public Service Commission (MPSC). This alternative financing strategy should be useful for future capital-intensive projects, as it would reduce financial risk for utilities and possibly lower total project costs by allowing firms to rely more on revenue instead of loans, which accrue interest.

CWIP offers benefits for needed power plant construction, but the interest of ratepayers is still vital. A blank check for a monopoly utility could lead to cost overruns and cancellations (which are issues partly tied to the monopoly system itself).

Further Ratepayer Protections and Compensation

The MPSC will still oversee utility rates, and it should continue to weigh potential safeguards to protect Missouri ratepayers. SB 4 already includes two key provisions—cost caps (limited by the estimated cost and completion date) and a refund mechanism—if the plant is not put into operation.

The State of Virginia also recently passed CWIP reform, and it instituted additional safeguards that should be considered for future projects. These include:

  • A limit on the number of eligible projects;
  • Excluding 20% of development costs from early recovery;
  • Mandatory evaluation of federal funding opportunities from the Department of Energy; and
  • Establishing a cap on residential monthly bill increases ($1.40 per 1000 kWh).

Additionally, the MPSC should evaluate how ratepayers could be compensated appropriately for early contributions and their role in risk-sharing, such as treating CWIP financing more like a bond system.

This could involve limiting or disallowing pre-operation profits or aligning profits with the operation and provision of power. Another approach might be reducing total cost recovery for utilities after the plant is put into operation, since it is a riskier investment that relies on ratepayers earlier. Potential mechanisms include offering credits for reduced rates post-operation (that could function like a principal in a bond) or shortening the depreciation period post-operation to account for profits earned during the pre-operation phase. If this strategy leads to cost savings for a project, ratepayers should receive a portion of those savings.

These provisions could help strike a balance between protecting ratepayers and facilitating needed power plant construction. Utility companies argue that CWIP is required to build more energy generation in Missouri. If that’s the case, adequate safeguards for state ratepayers are needed.

A New Voice for Accountability, and School Choice in Missouri with Cory Koedel

Dr. Cory Koedel, the Show-Me Institute’s new director of education policy, joins Susan Pendergrass to discuss the biggest challenges facing Missouri’s public education system. They cover declining student outcomes, the role of accountability and testing, and the promise of school choice. Koedel shares insights from his research on school funding models—highlighting Tennessee’s student-centered formula—and breaks down what Missouri can learn from states that are improving early literacy. They also examine controversial policies like early grade retention and open enrollment, and Koedel outlines his priorities for education research in Missouri.

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Timestamps:

00:00 Introduction to Education Policy Challenges in Missouri
03:10 The Role of School Choice in Improving Outcomes
05:48 Funding Formulas and Their Implications
08:52 Early Literacy and Reading Instruction
12:05 Retention Policies and Their Effectiveness
15:04 Open Enrollment and Its Impact on Rural Schools
17:58 Future Directions for Education Policy in Missouri

Produced by Show-Me Opportunity

The Honesty Gap in Education

The education system often fails to communicate honestly with students, parents, and community members about how much students are actually learning. The discrepancy between actual student performance and what is reported is referred to as the “honesty gap.” A troubling example is the gap between students’ grades and their performance on standardized tests, which has grown tremendously since the pandemic. Grades are up, but test scores are down.

This is problematic because grades tend to carry more weight with students and parents than test scores. Many parents assume that the grades their children receive are accurate indicators of academic progress.

But this assumption is increasingly incorrect. Grades have become more and more disconnected from actual achievement. This may help explain why 90 percent of parents believe their children are performing at or above grade level in reading and math, even though only about one third of 4th- and 8th-grade students in the United States score at a proficient level on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP).

Who is to blame for the widening honesty gap? I believe we all bear responsibility. We seem to have collectively lost our appetite for bad news. Parents don’t want to hear that their children are falling behind, and schools are reluctant to deliver that message. Meanwhile, states face little pushback when they lower testing standards and inflate proficiency rates.

Unfortunately, the reality is that the cognitive skills students learn in school really matter for later-life success, and glossing over declining test scores—our best measures of these skills—will not change this fundamental fact. Sending our children to school and pretending that they are learning is not a path to prosperity. It is a path to lower economic growth and a lower quality of life. We should demand high standards from our educational institutions, even if the truth hurts.

Accountability in Missouri’s Public Schools

Successful leaders know that while it might feel good to have “yes men” around, they are not the best people to help you make important decisions. Support and encouragement matter, but so does honest feedback. With that in mind, recent actions and proposals in Missouri raise the question: are the accountability measures in Missouri improving our schools?

Pushing Back Against Policies that Dilute Standards

Currently, Missouri students are categorized into one of four performance levels based on their state standardized test scores. From lowest to highest, these are: below basic, basic, proficient, and advanced.

HB 607 proposes the addition of a fifth performance category, called “grade level,” which would be above basic but below proficient.

  • Proficient: Demonstrates mastery over all appropriate grade-level standards
  • Grade level: Demonstrates mastery over appropriate grade-level subject matter
  • Basic: Demonstrates partial mastery of essential knowledge and skills for the grade level

This definition of “grade-level” implies that it should not be expected for Missouri students to have mastery over all appropriate grade-level standards.

Rather than diluting standards, Missouri should implement policies that make meaningful use of state assessments. One such example is a third-grade retention policy. The transition from third to fourth grade is pivotal—students shift from learning to read to reading to learn. To combat the well-documented fourth-grade reading slump, states such as South Carolina and Mississippi adopted mandatory retention policies paired with targeted phonics-based interventions. The result has been very positive.

Open Enrollment—Better Choice, Better Accountability

Currently, where you can attend school is largely determined by where you live. This prevents many families from changing schools. Establishing a cross-district, universal open enrollment program would allow more families to vote with their feet. Markets excel at revealing best practices, and districts with best practices will likely attract more students and pressure other districts to change.

There is some potential to align open enrollment with Missouri’s accreditation process. In December 2024, it was announced that for the 10th year in a row, the state’s accountability system would not be used for district accreditation. Perhaps there is fear of a trigger in the policy that would allow students to transfer out of unaccredited school districts, especially because the unaccredited districts must pay the tuition for the transfers to receiving districts. If universal open enrollment were adopted, lawmakers could revisit the tuition rule for transfer students out of those districts and implement a meaningful accreditation system.

These strategies offer ways to maintain high standards for our schools and children. Better accountability systems in education are the key to learning which strategies are working and which are not. Encouraging transparency and openness will generate more competition and innovation in our schools, and should ultimately strengthen our education system.

Reputation and Reality Matter in City Governance

When entrepreneurs and job seekers consider where to live or invest, they don’t rely solely on tax rates or housing costs, though Show-Me Institute analysts have addressed those topics for years. People also make judgment calls about safety, governance, and community stability. In other words, they’re evaluating risk—and not just objective measures, but also perceptions.

A new study in the Journal of Business Venturing Insights offers a window into how those perceptions shape decision-making. Researchers Kaitlyn DeGhetto and Zachary Russell surveyed over 500 entrepreneurs and prospective employees about 25 of the country’s largest cities. They asked participants to rate each city on three types of institutional risk: safety, political, and social.

For Missouri, the results are worth paying attention to. Both St. Louis and Kansas City made the list. Despite their differences in culture, governance, and media attention, the two cities are perceived in remarkably similar ways.

Safety was rated the most important risk factor overall, and here both Missouri cities ranked poorly. St. Louis came in 10th and Kansas City 11th, where #1 indicates the highest perceived risk. Respondents were asked to consider the likelihood that someone’s “security and physical well-being will be endangered due to the normalization of aggression and criminality.”

This isn’t strictly about crime statistics. It’s about whether people think a city feels dangerous. For both cities, the perception alone is a barrier to investment and attracting talent.

On political risk—concern over erratic leadership or self-serving government—St. Louis ranked 17th, with Kansas City 19th. On social risk, which includes concerns around discrimination, cohesion and inclusion, St. Louis was 13th and Kansas City was 11th.

The takeaway for state and local leaders is straightforward: it’s not enough to govern well. You also must be seen as governing well. That means doing the hard work of making cities safer, administration more competent, and communities more welcoming—not as mere public relations efforts, but as visible, measurable outcomes.

Reputation isn’t everything. But in a competitive national landscape, perception drives decisions. If Missouri’s cities want to compete, they’ll need to improve both the reality and the narrative.

What Missouri Can Learn from Arizona’s Education System with Sean McCarthy

Susan Pendergrass speaks with Sean McCarthy, Director of Fiscal Policy for the Arizona House of Representatives, about the state’s innovative approach to education. They discuss universal school choice, open enrollment, and the broader implications of Arizona’s funding mechanisms. McCarthy highlights Arizona’s unique position as a national leader in school choice, the role of parental decision-making, and the challenges involved in education budgeting. They also discuss the Empowerment Scholarship Account (ESA) program and examine the positive impact this approach has had on rural schools across the state.

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Timestamps:

00:00 Introduction to Arizona’s Fiscal Policy and Education System
00:48 Universal School Choice in Arizona
03:55 Open Enrollment Dynamics and Parental Choices
10:13 Funding Mechanisms and Their Implications
14:59 Challenges in Education Funding and Budgeting
19:59 Arizona’s ESA Program and Parental Empowerment
26:55 Rural Education and School Choice Outcomes

Produced by Show-Me Opportunity

A Free-Market Guide for Missouri Municipalities, Part Two: Taxation

Download the Full Report Here

A Free-Market Guide for Missouri Municipalities is a multi-part series by David Stokes, director of municipal policy at the Show-Me Institute, offering practical, free market–oriented reforms for improving local government across the state. Each installment focuses on a core area of municipal policy—combining real-world examples, historical  context, and academic research to help cities, towns, and villages better serve residents and taxpayers.

The second installment, A Free-Market Guide for Missouri Municipalities, Part Two: Taxation, examines the sources of municipal revenue in Missouri and evaluates the state’s heavy reliance on sales and income taxes. It makes the case for rebalancing local finance by placing greater emphasis on growth-oriented taxes like property taxes and more targeted sources such as user fees, while reducing reliance on volatile and distortionary taxes. Topics include land taxes, special taxing districts, user fees, local gas taxes, and the economic consequences of tax subsidies like TIF. The report offers practical recommendations to make local tax systems more stable, transparent, and conducive to long-term prosperity.

20250313 – Free Market Guide to Cities Part 2 – Stokes (1)
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