As voters in the City of St. Louis prepare to vote on whether to retain the earnings tax in April, the city is in a tight spot. The city and school district need more revenue, which comes about through more taxes. But because taxes are high and a detriment to growth (especially the one-percent earnings tax), businesses are not locating in the city and the economy is not growing. So, to attract new businesses and convince current ones to stay, the city selectively gives out generous tax incentives. These may attract some businesses and residents, but because of the incentives, they don’t provide the tax revenue that the city was after in the first place.

Are you with us so far? Count us among those who agree that poor public schools and a high crime rate are harming the City of St. Louis more than taxes. But if the economy were growing, City Hall and the board of education would have more money to hire more police officers and teachers. It’s as if St. Louis is in its own Catch-22: a problem or situation where every solution is impeded by other conflicts. Call it our Catch 1%.

St. Louis’s “solution” to the problem of losing businesses and residents over the past couple of decades has been to offer generous tax benefits to every politically influential Milo Minderbinder who asks for them. Last year alone, there were 70 million uncollected tax dollars because of various subsidies. That approach has been a failure. It has led to substantial tax subsidies for developers who do not need them, such as the St. Louis Cardinals and their Ballpark Village development. They succeed while paying significantly reduced taxes. Their subsidies have helped them drive out smaller competitors (e.g., Mike Shannon’s) who paid taxes, but now no longer do because, well, they are closed. The use of tax subsidies actually leads to a reduction in tax revenues. That’s Catch 1%.

The same thing goes for the idea that tax subsidies are intended for blighted sections of the city. Clearly, there are parts of St. Louis that are struggling, and these areas might well benefit from the use of tax subsidies. But for the most part they aren’t getting them. Why not? From an economic development official’s point of view, the incentives are misaligned. If you have tax dollars to invest, why not direct them into a thriving area surrounded by other successful businesses? You’ll look that much smarter when the development succeeds—even if it would have been just as successful without the government handout. The projects that truly need the incentives aren’t the sure things . . . and that’s the whole point of the incentives—to bridge the gap between failure and success for a project in an economically depressed area. But in St. Louis, the less a project needs a tax subsidy, the more likely it is to get one. That’s Catch 1%.

So here we are, giving out tax incentives to people who don’t need them in places that don’t need them and still funding city government with an earnings tax that limits economic growth. Could the City of St. Louis operate without the earnings tax if the residents and voters wanted to do so? Of course. Most large cities in the United States do not have local income taxes. One problem (of several) with the tax subsidies and abatements the city gives away is that they make it impossible to rely less on the earnings tax and more on local property taxes, which is how many comparable cities fund their local services. Nobody says it will be easy to phase out the tax, which brings in an estimated $159 million per year. But if voters decided to end it, during the 10-year phase-out period an overall effort toward ending corporate welfare, raising alternative (and less economically harmful) taxes, budget cuts, continued pension reforms, service sharing with other governments (as in re-entering St. Louis County), and privatization efforts (e.g., the water utility) would allow St. Louis to continue to fund necessary services. It bears repeating that most comparable cities, including Chicago, Memphis, Omaha, Tulsa, and Nashville, fund their local services without local income taxes.

As St. Louis City voters prepare to decide the fate of the one-percent earnings tax in April, they do not have a simple choice. But the way the city has been operating for years is not working. The population is still declining, crime rates are high again, and the schools are failing too many students. If the city continues to go along as it has been for years, managed decline is about all we can hope for. Perhaps it is time to break out of the Catch 1% the city is in and do something radical.

The post Earnings Taxes and St. Louis’s Catch 1%. appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

The level of services provided and the types of taxes or fees collected to fund those services differ from city to city. My newest paper, “Breaking Down Expenses and Revenues: Kansas City and St. Louis Compared to Six Other Cities,” updates two previous Show-Me Institute case studies to shed light on the revenue collection and spending habits of St. Louis and Kansas City.

The six comparison cities are Tulsa, Oklahoma City, Omaha, Denver, Louisville, and Indianapolis. Compared to those cities, St. Louis and Kansas City are, respectively, the second and third highest spending cities overall, and the two highest spenders on debt service.

In terms of revenue collection, Kansas City ranks first among the comparison cities in fees per resident; in fact, it collects almost as much in fees per resident as all of the other cities combined. Indianapolis is the only other city with an earnings tax, yet both St. Louis and Kansas City nearly double Indianapolis in earnings tax collected per city resident.

For further discussion of the revenue and expenditure trends of these cities, click the link below to read the entire essay.

The post Breaking Down Expenses and Revenues: Kansas City and St. Louis appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

Kansas City’s and St. Louis’s debt service per person were the highest of the cities we studied a few years ago and remain the highest today, despite some dramatic increases in debt in Louisville and Denver. Tulsa and Indianapolis actually reduced their per capita debt payments!

For Kansas City, debt service spending rose from $296.24 per person in 2011 to $322.90 in 2017. St. Louis’s numbers rose from $328.15 to $369.33 in the same time period. Long-time readers of this blog shouldn’t be surprised; we pointed this out almost two years ago when Kansas City and St. Louis ranked 101st and 112th out of 166 cities in a study of financial health  by the California Policy Center. Nor should it surprise Kansas City’s leaders. As we wrote at the time,

The Mayor’s own Citizens Commission on Municipal Revenue 2012 report cites high debt as a problem and offers, “Because current debt levels are high compared to peer cities, the impact on the City’s credit rating from issuing additional and significant levels of debt must be of primary concern.”

As Kansas City approaches a mayoral election and St. Louis yet again ponders subsidizing a sports stadium for wealthy would-be owners, city leaders need to focus on long term financial sustainability and stop buying expensive municipal baubles on taxpayer credit.

The post Kansas City and St. Louis Increasingly in Debt appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

On Tuesday, April 5, Saint Louis voters will decide whether to extend the city’s 1 percent earnings tax for five more years.

Without a doubt, this is a hugely important decision.

In inviting me to talk to you, Ron Zager (co-chairman of the Missouri Progressive Action Group), asked that I begin by presenting both sides of the argument—for and against the earnings tax .

I am happy to do so. It makes for an interesting—and even a startling—contrast.

Supporters cite three principal reasons for extending the earnings tax:

1. It is simple, fair, and easy to collect. Businesses withhold $1 out of every $100 from the paychecks of all of their employees and pay it directly to the city. They also pay a 1 percent tax on their net profits.
2. It brings in a lot of revenue—almost as much as the combined receipts from the city’s property, sales, and utility taxes. It provides a third of the city’s General Revenue Fund, used to support fire, police, courts, streets, parks, recreation, and other day-to-day city services.
3. A large portion of this revenue is like manna from heaven. People who commute into Saint Louis from the surrounding suburbs account for more than half of the city’s annual earnings tax receipts of about $160 million. And why not? The high-earning commuters are significant consumers of city services, swelling the daytime population of the city by about 35 percent.

To sum up the case in favor of retention: The earnings tax is critical to the continued functioning of city and the continued provision of police and other services to a population that includes a high proportion of low-income residents. It is a real lifeline. The city would be in danger of going bankrupt without it.

Opponents have three main reasons of their own for eliminating or phasing out the earnings tax:

1. It encourages people and businesses to move out of the city.
2. It also encourages an ongoing merry-go-round of tax carve-outs and special favors for large and well-known firms. The city does not extend the same benefits to thousands of smaller businesses, which take care of most of the daily needs of people who live in the city, such as the neighborhood grocer, cleaners, pharmacist, or auto repair shop.
3. Though not a regressive tax (applying the same 1 percent to people at all income levels), it is a cruel one. Unlike federal and state income taxes, there is no exemption from the city earning tax for working people at or below the poverty line. The tax hits the first dollar of income even from the lowest-paying jobs. A still greater problem is the narrowing of job opportunities in parts of the city experiencing a rapid out-migration of people and the closure of many small businesses.

The minuses are really the flip side of the pluses I have just mentioned.

Yes, the earning tax is easy to collect, but it is also easy to avoid. As a business owner, you can avoid the tax on your net profits simply by moving your business to the suburbs—anywhere outside the city. There is no earnings tax in Clayton, here in Frontenac, or anywhere else in Saint Louis County and other surrounding counties and municipalities. If you did move your business, many or even most of your employees who already live in the county would, out of their own self-interest, applaud your decision. And others who live in the city would be given a reason to move to the county.

Yes, the earnings tax pays many big bills for the city. By the same token, it provides a strong incentive for individuals and businesses—who have bills of their own to pay—to relocate in order to avoid the tax.

By collecting more than half of earning tax revenue from commuters, the city is (inadvertently) making a powerful argument for downtown-based law firms and other businesses with a large number of highly paid employees to take flight—for both economic and personal reasons. At one stroke a firm can give many of its officers and employees an instant 1 percent raise while sparing them the bother of a long commute. So what can the city do to prevent such businesses from moving?

If you are the sitting mayor or other high-ranking city official, here’s the answer: Offer big potential flight risks all kinds of tax breaks and other incentives to stay downtown. Find ways to abate property taxes to keep prestigious firms from leaving downtown. Waive the half-percent payroll tax (separate from the earnings tax) for large employers such as Anthem and Wells Fargo. And lobby the state for more handouts.

But of course, given your obsession with preserving earning tax receipts, you do that only for the big guys and you forget all about the little guys who are so numerous (even in decline) that you know little or nothing about them.

A classic example of how this works can be taken from 2011, when Stifel Financial Corp., which has had its corporate headquarters in downtown Saint Louis since 1890, announced plans to buy its downtown office building and expand its workforce in the city by a couple hundred people. Mayor Francis Slay called it “tremendous news for the future of downtown.” He also helped Stifel get some $17 million in public financing for the purchase and renovation of the building.

Why would a large and successful financial firm need help in feathering its own nest? Ron Kruszewski, Stifel’s CEO, said it all: “There’s very little investment going on right now without some incentives.”

That prompted Bill McClellan of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch to comment in one of his columns: “When liberals like me argue for comprehensive health care, critics call us socialists. But when businesspeople demand public money to underwrite their projects, hardly anyone says anything.”

(I’ll take issue with McClellan on one point here: There is at least one institution that has fiercely and consistently opposed all forms of corporate welfare and crony capitalism, whether it is providing public funds for new corporate headquarters, public funds for professional sports stadiums, or any other kind of commercial development. That is the Show-Me Institute.)

To sum up the minuses: the earnings tax is a tax on work and enterprise, and when you tax something, you get less of it. In this case that means fewer jobs and less growth. The earnings tax has also encouraged unfair and unwise favoritism in tax practices—decisions made up on the fly to keep big-name businesses from bolting to the county. It’s time for a long look at Saint Louis city government—how it is financed and, more fundamentally, how it thinks.

Let us take a moment to consider decade-to-decade changes in the relative importance of Saint Louis among major cities in the United States over a long period of time—both before and after the introduction of the earnings tax in 1954.

According to census data, the last time Saint Louis moved upward in the ranks of U.S. cities was in the 1890s. The population grew from 452,000 people at the beginning of the decade to 575,000 in 1900, and Saint Louis moved from being the 5th largest city in the country to the 4th (behind New York, Chicago, and Philadelphia).

Of course, that was just prior to the Saint Louis World’s Fair. In that same amazing year of 1904, Saint Louis also hosted the world’s third modern Olympics—following the 1900 Olympics in Paris and the 1896 Olympics in Athens.

Saint Louis held onto 4th place until the 1920 census, when it was overtaken by Detroit and Cleveland, dropping to 6th. It was passed by Los Angeles in 1930 and Baltimore in 1940, falling to 8th. It remained in that spot in the 1950 census—when the city’s population hit an all-time peak of 857,000.

At that point the city’s population went into a steep decline that continues to this day. Since 1950, its population has dropped from close to 900,000 to a little more than 300,000—discarding almost two-thirds of its human body weight—and Saint Louis has gone from being the 8th-largest city in the country down to the 60th, behind such places as Tulsa, Oklahoma, and Wichita, Kansas.

It would be absurd to place all or even most the blame for this decline on the earnings tax. It would be equally absurd to deny that the earnings tax has made a significant contribution to the depopulation of the city and the growth of surrounding areas.

For one thing, we know that downtown Saint Louis no longer rules the roost as the unchallenged commercial center of the Saint Louis region. Clayton has become a strong second center, and other places around the county are also filled with offices and business enterprises. It is only in Saint Louis City that you find acres and acres of abandoned houses, deserted storefronts, and boarded-up factories.

Here’s a statistic that may surprise you: There are now more people who commute into Saint Louis County . . . both from the city and from Saint Charles and other counties . . . than there are people who commute into the city from the county or other jurisdictions. There are 236,000 people commuting into the county versus 172,000 commuting into the city, according to recent census data.

Somehow, Clayton and other municipalities receiving this great daily influx of commuters have been able to handle it . . . without instituting an earnings tax or having everything from the streets to public safety fall to pieces. Why is it any different for the city of Saint Louis? Why is the city unable to cope without taxing the earnings of people who come there to work?

Let’s turn then to the question of whether it is possible to phase out the earnings tax without throwing the city into bankruptcy and fulfilling the worst predictions.

Bear in mind that the proposal on Tuesday’s ballot in the city calls for phasing out the earnings tax over 10 years—whittling away at a $160 million funding gap that would occur in the year 2026 through spending cuts or revenue enhancements averaging $16 million a year between now and then.

Is $16 million a year too tall a mountain to climb? Somehow, in the city’s desperate efforts in recent months to persuade the Rams and the NFL to keep the team in Saint Louis, the city funneled $16 million through the Saint Louis Convention & Visitors Center Commission to pay legal fees and other expenses in what turned out to be a losing effort.

Before that, Mayor Slay and Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon were prepared to raise about $400 million to pay for a large portion of the cost of building a new downtown stadium for the Rams. That alone would have equaled the revenues from the earnings tax over a two-and-a-half-year period.

If almost any large business you can imagine were to lose customers year after year—eventually losing more than half of its business base—you would expect it to downsize drastically, if not go out of business.

Why is it—despite the steady, continuing loss in population—that the city’s budget continues to grow, if only slowly, from one year to the next, with few if any large reductions in its workforce?

Faced with such questions, city officials typically shift the focus to public safety, saying they need more rather than fewer police and firemen. Public safety accounts for a little over half of general funds expenditures. Why, then, is it so hard to trim the other expenditures that make up about 45 percent of the budget?

There are other ways that the city can either cut expenditures or raise revenues besides the shock of instituting sudden and drastic increases in property or sales taxes. It could raise hefty sums of money by privatizing assets such as the airport or the water system.

It could also make a serious effort to raise some revenue from its large nonprofit institutions. As Post-Dispatch business columnist David Nicklaus pointed out in a recent article:

These universities and hospitals depend on city service but don’t pay property taxes. Boston and other cities have negotiated payments from their big nonprofits; Saint Louis could try to do the same. Eliminating the 1 percent earnings tax should make it easier for these institutions to attract and retain employees; wouldn’t they pay something to make the tax go away?

But none of those things is going to happen without a fundamental change in thinking on the part of city officials who have come to look upon the earnings tax as the sine qua non of Saint Louis city governance.

Following the last election, when voters re-approved the earnings tax, city officials heaved a sigh of relief, agreed that the tax did indeed put the city at a competitive disadvantage, and promised to study alternatives. That was five years ago. And since then they have done nothing.

Maybe if the vote is closer this time, they will begin to think differently. But maybe not. Maybe they will just go on hoping for miracles while continuing to pursue policies that have contributed the city’s decline and fall from the heights it once occupied as a great American city.

The post The Saint Louis City Earnings Tax: Lifeline or Noose? appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

Kansas City borrows a lot, too. We spend more per capita on servicing our debt than every peer city we examined except St. Louis (the other peer cities we looked at were Tulsa, Oklahoma City, Omaha, Indianapolis, Denver, and Louisville). Because cities with higher incomes are better able to handle debt, we also looked at the city income-to-debt ratio. The results weren’t flattering. Kansas Citians earn $5.28 in income for every $1 of debt the city carries. Louisville and Tulsa had much better ratios, ($35.92 and $17.66 for every $1 of city debt, respectively).

The City borrows money for lots of things. For example, a few years ago the city borrowed $10 million from the airport just to cover the costs of TIF commitments. Kansas City issued bonds to help pay down its debts for the Power & Light District; this reduced annual payments in the short term, but increased the total amount of the debt. As a result of existing debt, the city cannot pay for basic services such as tearing down dangerous homes—and so it must borrow again to generate the $10 million needed.

Despite lofty city rhetoric against payday loans, we seem to be managing city funds using a similar model. Even the Mayor’s own Citizen’s Commission on Municipal Revenue reported in 2012 that the city’s debt ratios, among other things, “raise red flags.” Their report found that Kansas City has debt levels higher than all the peer cities it considered.

Right before Detroit declared bankruptcy it was borrowing money to cover employee bonuses. Kansas City hasn’t gotten to that point yet, but things are not looking up. Is this any way to run a city?

The post Kansas City Deep in Debt appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

In his remarks, Cozad compared Kansas City to Indianapolis. According to a case study written by The Show-Me Institute’s Michael Rathbone, Indianapolis is similar to Kansas City in education, median household income and poverty levels. Indianapolis has about twice the population of Kansas City and is just a little larger than Kansas City in total city area. (The study also compared us to Tulsa, Denver, Oklahoma City, Omaha, St. Louis, and Louisville.)

Despite the larger population and larger geographical area than Kansas City, Indianapolis appears to be run much more efficiently. Their total government spending per capita is much lower than Kansas City’s, $1.411 to our $2,354. They spend much less on city administration per capita and less for about every other category the paper examined, including public safety, public services, culture and recreation and capital outlays. The Mayor’s own Citizen’s Commission on Municipal Revenue reported in 2012 that Kansas City has a higher number of employees per capita than most other cities it considered.

If Kansas City leaders were able to bring total spending per capita ($2,354.05) just halfway down to what Indianapolis pays ($1,411.64), it would save us $220 million each year, almost exactly the amount the earnings tax provides. They don’t have to match Indianapolis—or the even more efficiently run Tulsa, Oklahoma City, Omaha or Louisville—just get us hallway there.

Even if Kansas City just lowered its per capita city administration spending from its current $210.59 down to the level of Omaha ($109.57) the city would save $46 million per year. We’d save $78 million per year if we reduced it to what Indianapolis spends ($43.47).

Instead, our leaders prefer to dig in their heels and offer only scare tactics about cutting public safety spending. Don't taxpayers deserve better?

The post The Cost of Inefficiency in Kansas City appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

This case study examines government revenue, per person, of Saint Louis and Kansas City along with six other comparison cities (Denver, Indianapolis, Louisville, Oklahoma City, Omaha, and Tulsa). It examines tax burdens on residents (in total and as a percentage of personal income), the amount of fees collected, and other tidbits of information that the general public might find interesting. Please give it a look.

The post Show-Me Institute Presents: Breaking Down Revenue appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

Download and read the full case study below.

The post Breaking Down Revenue: How Kansas City And Saint Louis Compare To Six Other Cities appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

This case study focuses on the cost of services that a city provides. The goal of this paper is to describe spending patterns on government services compared to Kansas City and Saint Louis. By presenting Saint Louis’ and Kansas City’s total expenditures and breaking down the general categories in which these expenditures were made, it is possible to compare them, in some ways, to the expenditures of other, similarly sized cities. For the purposes of this paper, the comparison cities are Tulsa, Oklahoma City, Omaha, Denver, Louisville, and Indianapolis.

The post Kansas City and Saint Louis Expense Breakdown Compared To Six Other Cities appeared first on Show-Me Institute.

Oklahoma is a big turnpike state. A few years ago,
56 percent of Oklahomans responding to a statewide survey said they
would happily do away with tolls, and more than half were willing to
use state-lottery revenues for that purpose. Of course, state lottery
money wound up being earmarked for public and higher education. But the
fact is that Oklahomans were tired of forever being required to plop
down $3.50 to drive from Tulsa to Joplin or Tulsa to Oklahoma City.

The editorial suggests that Missouri could raise funds for transportation infrastructure instead by increasing the motor fuel tax for a period of time, or increasing vehicle and license fees.

Now, I understand that people may not like the idea of paying $2 or $3 every time they travel up and down I-70 or I-44. For example, I go to school in Illinois, and every time I drive to Chicago I’m annoyed by the tolls on I-88 as much as the next driver. But the money collected helps improve highways, and does it at the expense of the people and businesses that use those roads the most. Raising motor fuel taxes or increasing license fees would affect motorists who don’t use the highway at all — a far less justifiable fundraising base.

Also, I like the idea of having a guy like Little John collecting tolls on I-70.

The post Driving in Missouri Takes its Toll appeared first on Show-Me Institute.