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		<title>What If You Eliminated Personal Property Taxes and Nobody Noticed?</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/what-if-you-eliminated-personal-property-taxes-and-nobody-noticed/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 15:00:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://showmeinstitute.org/?p=603897</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Listen to this article There is a lot of ongoing discussion about eliminating personal property taxes. There have been bills introduced to eliminate them. It’s a major topic of debate [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/what-if-you-eliminated-personal-property-taxes-and-nobody-noticed/">What If You Eliminated Personal Property Taxes and Nobody Noticed?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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<p>There is a lot of ongoing discussion about <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/missouri/comments/1hr5g7e/we_really_need_to_talk_about_missouris_personal/">eliminating personal property taxes</a>. There have been <a href="https://www.senate.mo.gov/BillTracking/Bills/BillInformation?handler=legislation&amp;year=2026&amp;session=R&amp;billPrefix=SJR&amp;billSuffix=84">bills introduced to eliminate them</a>. It’s a major topic of debate around the state, particularly in St. Charles County.</p>
<p>Personal property taxes are the taxes levied on your car, boat, livestock, business equipment, farm equipment, and more. (Thanks <a href="https://www.firstalert4.com/2026/04/15/warrenton-officials-approve-75-personal-property-tax-abatement-multi-billion-dollar-data-center-project/">to data centers,</a> the business equipment part has become much more important in the past year or so.) Missouri indeed<a href="https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/state/tangible-personal-property-tax/"> taxes personal property more than most other states</a>. I am perfectly fine with eliminating the tax. But people should understand that if personal property taxes were eliminated, the Hancock Amendment would allow local governments to then raise real property taxes by the amount lost in personal property taxes.</p>
<p>So, if the state eliminated all personal property taxes statewide, it would likely end up as a revenue-neutral switch where we taxed land and buildings slightly more and taxed mobile assets not at all while removing a tax that most people find particularly annoying. I think that would be a modestly beneficial switch; I just don’t want to sell it as a tax cut.</p>
<p>But could counties on their own eliminate personal property taxes? Yes, every county and taxing district in the state could eliminate personal property taxes if they wanted to. They just don’t want to and I understand why.</p>
<p>Currently, St. Louis County is the only county that is required to set different tax rates for different classes of property. <a href="https://revisor.mo.gov/main/OneSection.aspx?section=137.115">RSMo §137.073</a> requires every local government within St. Louis County (including cities, school districts, streetlight districts, etc.) to set a property tax rate for each subclass of property. This means that there are different tax rates for residential, commercial, agricultural, manufacturing, and personal property. The requirement to break down the tax rate by subclass was originally intended for the entire state, but eventually the rest of the state was given the opportunity to opt out if their county commission chose to, which every county in the state did. As a result, the rule currently only applies within St. Louis County and (for an unknown reason) the city of Gladstone in Clay County.</p>
<p>In the rest of Missouri, every government with property tax authority sets one tax rate, which is then applied to all subclasses of real and personal property. There are a few exceptions to this (primarily cities that have never taxed personal property, such as Independence), but almost all governments outside of St. Louis County set the same rate for all real and personal property. But here is the key: Any county in Missouri can adopt different tax rates for different property classifications whenever it wants to.</p>
<p>County officials could require all the taxing entities within their county to set different rates, and then county officials could set the county rate for personal property at zero. But county officials could not tell other taxing districts within the county to apply those new, variable rates. Would any of them choose to set the personal property tax rate at zero? Well, let’s just say that since this switch was made in St. Louis County, I know of no taxing entity that has voluntarily set the personal property tax rate at zero (other than some municipalities that <a href="https://stlouiscountymo.gov/st-louis-county-departments/revenue/collector-of-revenue/tax-rates-summary/">don’t have property taxes at all</a>, such as Chesterfield, or had never set a personal property tax, such as Westwood).</p>
<p>What would happen if a county set its personal property tax rate at zero and no other governments followed? In St. Louis County, the county portion of the tax bill is about five percent. It is a largely similar percentage around Missouri (varying slightly, of course). If St. Louis County government set its personal property tax rate to zero tomorrow, the average car and boat owner would see a five percent reduction in their annual car or boat tax bill. That assumes no other local taxing districts got approval from voters to raise their rates at the same time, which would more than offset it.</p>
<p>The fact is that unless school districts agree to also lower personal property tax rates, any attempt by counties to end personal property taxes will produce underwhelming results. I still think it would be a good thing. We should tax fixed assets like land and buildings instead of mobile ones like cars. It would be a general improvement in tax policy and remove a minor annoyance for most people (i.e., their annual car tax payment).</p>
<p>Let’s just not pretend it would be a large tax cut.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/what-if-you-eliminated-personal-property-taxes-and-nobody-noticed/">What If You Eliminated Personal Property Taxes and Nobody Noticed?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>St. Louis Demographics and the Future of the Region with Ness Sandoval</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/st-louis-demographics-and-the-future-of-the-region-with-ness-sandoval/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Apr 2026 13:53:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Budget and Spending]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://showmeinstitute.org/?p=603093</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Susan Pendergrass speaks with J.S. Onésimo &#8220;Ness&#8221; Sandoval, demographer and professor in the Department of Sociology and Anthropology at Saint Louis University, about what the data says about the future [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/st-louis-demographics-and-the-future-of-the-region-with-ness-sandoval/">St. Louis Demographics and the Future of the Region with Ness Sandoval</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><iframe title="What the Data Says About St. Louis&#039; Future" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/IU0QV6AvAD8?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe></p>
<p>Susan Pendergrass speaks with <a href="https://jsosslu.wordpress.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">J.S. Onésimo &#8220;Ness&#8221; Sandoval</a>, demographer and professor in the Department of Sociology and Anthropology at Saint Louis University, about what the data says about the future of the St. Louis region. They discuss record low birth rates and what they mean for school enrollment, why St. Louis is among the top regions in the country for deaths outnumbering births, how the region compares to Pittsburgh and Cleveland, and why suburbs like Chesterfield and St. Charles are aging faster than most people realize. They also discuss the role of housing supply, school choice, crime, and domestic migration in whether St. Louis can attract and retain young families, and more.</p>
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<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Episode Transcript</strong></span></p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (00:00):</strong> Well, certainly not the first time we&#8217;ve spoken, Dr. Sandoval. At St. Louis University, you are such a fascinating demographer of the region, and I&#8217;ve been following your work as new census data has been released. You&#8217;ve been writing about it and creating what I think are really cool mapping tools that folks can look at to see how the St. Louis region is impacted. Thanks for coming on to talk about that. But first I want to sort of expand our view, because pretty sure that I read within the last week that the number of babies born in the United States was at an all-time low. Is that right?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (00:35):</strong> Yeah, so every year the United States will probably be breaking records. The data coming out for 2025 is a record low, and the data coming out for 2026 is even lower. The first few months of 2026, the provisional data that&#8217;s out shows even fewer. And this is what we expected. We call this a demographic shock, because in 2026, whenever you create an atmosphere of uncertainty and fear, rational people do not have children until they understand that their job is safe, there&#8217;s not a recession coming, and we&#8217;re not at war. When you create this sense of fear, young people do the rational thing and don&#8217;t have children. We saw this in 2020 with COVID. We saw this in 2008 with the Great Recession. Anytime there is uncertainty, young people will postpone births. And that&#8217;s what we&#8217;re seeing. This started in November. We started to see the decline in births, and it&#8217;s continued from November, December, January, February. And so this is what we&#8217;re going to see.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (01:51):</strong> So next year is going to be lower. And when you look at the state of Missouri, I&#8217;ve been saying this ad nauseum for years that our K-12 school enrollment is declining and will decline because of that sort of peak in 2008, just before the Great Recession. So our biggest kindergarten class was around 2012, and our kindergarten classes have by and large declined ever since. And so those kids are moving through the system. You can project that we will just have fewer and fewer kids enrolled in our K-12 system in the state of Missouri.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (02:06):</strong> No, we peaked in 2008.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (02:11):</strong> By and large declined ever since 2012. And so those kids are moving through the system. So you can project that we will just have fewer and fewer kids enrolled in our K-12 system in the state of Missouri.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (02:24):</strong> Yeah, this is true, and we have a pretty good chart. We make these for every city. We&#8217;re replacing very large cohorts of children who were born. I have a son who was born in 2007, just before the recession. That cohort that graduated in St. Louis was 40,000 students. The baby birth cohort is now 27,000 students. So that&#8217;s just in that one year a 13,000 decline. And it&#8217;s going to decline every year for the next 15 to 18 years, because we don&#8217;t know what the bottom is yet. It has not reached the bottom.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (03:01):</strong> Right. People say where are the kids going? I&#8217;m like, they&#8217;re not going anywhere. They weren&#8217;t born. The St. Louis region, like Clayton is declining, Ladue was, I mean, all of these school districts, I think almost everyone in the county has fewer kids today than they had 10 years ago.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (03:07):</strong> They weren&#8217;t born. Yes, and it&#8217;s not just St. Louis County. St. Charles County is experiencing this. There are some parts that are growing, in the Wentzville area, O&#8217;Fallon, but if you look at the old St. Charles areas, they&#8217;re experiencing decline. Families with children are declining in those areas. We had made an interactive map that I think shocked a lot of people, of seniors outnumbering youth. People could not comprehend this. Like, my gosh, this is not 2000 where youth were dominating these neighborhoods. I live out here in Chesterfield. The entire Route 64 corridor is senior citizens dominating the youth in Chesterfield. People are shocked. More seniors lived in Chesterfield than youth in 2010, and that&#8217;s only grown since. This is happening throughout West County.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (04:14):</strong> Wow. And your maps actually go down to the zip code, right? You have very granular data.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (04:27):</strong> Across into Illinois, yes. The only way you can turn this around is young people from across the United States deciding that they want to make St. Louis their home, have a family there, create a business there. This is what I promote. We have to get younger. We really should have a preferential option for families with children. And that&#8217;s a hard message for a lot of people because they&#8217;re like, wait a minute, we grew from 1970 to 2020. And I&#8217;m like, but all of that growth was driven by babies born. Over 1.8 million babies were born. And I tell people, just do the math. 27,000 babies per year times 50. That&#8217;s the back of the envelope for what&#8217;s coming over the next 50 years. Unfortunately, that&#8217;s not what&#8217;s going to come. It&#8217;s going to be a lot lower than that. People are starting to get it. We&#8217;re not going to have 1.8 million babies born over the next 50 years.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (05:33):</strong> Yeah, and I think about things like individual school systems building new elementary schools when there have got to be a lot of buildings that are empty. And also, won&#8217;t there be more competition for public resources between children and older people?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (05:49):</strong> Yeah. At my previous job at Northwestern, we did a project on this in one of the suburbs because we were studying seniors. There was a debate about how to spend public money. Was it for transit for seniors or transit for children? This was 2006, and this was the debate happening in Chicago. How do you provide paratransit for senior citizens when that number is increasing? We&#8217;re just having this discussion because St. Louis is leading. We&#8217;re in the top three of regions. Pittsburgh leads the country, Cleveland is second, and St. Louis is third, tied with Tampa. More people dying than babies born. We simply don&#8217;t have the number of babies born for the size of our population. And it&#8217;s because we&#8217;re a very old region. We&#8217;re the ninth oldest region in the country.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (06:58):</strong> Yeah, I mean, we used to have 800,000 people in the city of St. Louis, right? And now we&#8217;re 280,000 or something.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (07:05):</strong> Yeah, and I was just looking at the numbers. It is very possible within two years that Kansas City will have more babies born in absolute numbers than the St. Louis metro region. That&#8217;s how few babies. I&#8217;m talking about the region. Indianapolis is about 700 babies behind St. Louis. Nashville is about 800 babies behind. All of these smaller regions are having lots of babies, and young people are moving there. Your future depends on the number of children born. And when you look at population projections, I kind of know what this looks like. When you fall below Kansas City in number of births, at some point Kansas City will be larger than St. Louis. We can project this out. We&#8217;re talking absolute births, not birth rates. We had lots of babies born 10 years ago. We were fine 10 years ago.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (08:09):</strong> Yeah, wow.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (08:29):</strong> We can go back and talk about what happened since 2010.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (08:35):</strong> Yeah, please. I&#8217;m curious what did happen. I know you call it the death spiral when there&#8217;s more deaths than births, but how did we get into this?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (08:41):</strong> So I moved here for the Great Recession. I moved in 2008 to start my job at SLU. And there was hope when I got here. There was some positive momentum happening. I think the region took it for granted that it didn&#8217;t have to do anything. We just have to be St. Louis. We don&#8217;t have to do anything. Unfortunately, Nashville came on the scene. Then you started to see regions change. Regions thinking we need to get young. And St. Louis absolutely did nothing. Since I&#8217;ve lived here, there&#8217;s been a lot of resistance to economic development in the region. Nashville, I think it was the popularity of being young, being pro-development. I went to Nashville to actually look at it, like why are young people there? And I went to Vanderbilt. And I saw this really interesting integration between the city and Vanderbilt University. That does not exist here in St. Louis. Making it a vibrant, cohesive, urban experience.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (09:47):</strong> Yeah. Right. Now you step off campus at SLU and you&#8217;re in an area you don&#8217;t want to walk at night.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (10:00):</strong> Yeah, and even if it was WashU, right. And then you can talk about the Loop. It never recovered from COVID, traffic is down. I think the region has really struggled to attract young people to stay here and live here.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (10:13):</strong> Well, we&#8217;ve been looking into the issue of crime in St. Louis quite a bit, and I know it&#8217;s down and everyone&#8217;s celebrating that fact, but I&#8217;m not sure when you survey people and ask how they feel walking alone at night, that it&#8217;s changed all that much. Even if the number of murders are down, I don&#8217;t know that people feel safer walking alone at night, and that&#8217;s got to have an impact on whether you want to stay in St. Louis after you have kids.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (10:47):</strong> Yeah. I think in the city you move out to the suburbs. The challenge is they work and you live for affordability. So many suburbs are against new development, even though they can develop. We see these debates in Chesterfield, that debate in Creve Coeur, several debates out in St. Charles. They don&#8217;t even talk about Jefferson County, because they&#8217;re celebrating voting down housing. My point is if you don&#8217;t want to build housing, Indianapolis is going to build it. Columbus is going to build it. Nashville is building it. We are no longer in the top 50 in new housing permits in the country. We&#8217;re 58th.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (11:34):</strong> Why though? Is it because there&#8217;s not demand, or is supply being constrained?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (11:42):</strong> Supply is being constrained. Part of it is, when I speak to people, they say it&#8217;s going to hurt my home values. People want supply down. But you understand there&#8217;s a consequence to this. And home values are always good in St. Louis. But again, we always say there&#8217;s a city that we can look to that&#8217;s our future, and that&#8217;s Pittsburgh. If you really study Pittsburgh and look at it, you&#8217;re like, wow, there&#8217;s a lot of things we can learn as a city, and say this is not what we want to be. Pittsburgh leads the country in discounted rates on home sales. When people offer their price, most people do not get the price that they want. It&#8217;s a significant discount because the demand&#8217;s not there. We are about 20 years behind Pittsburgh.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (12:25):</strong> Wow. I think a lot, in what I do, about the educational offerings in the region. Before we were recording we were talking about Texas. Texas, number one, doesn&#8217;t have an income tax, and also you can pick your child&#8217;s school from the get-go. They have hundreds, if not thousands of charter schools. And now they have a private school choice program that I think 250,000 families apply to. And Missouri has an extremely limited private school choice program, maybe 6,000 or 7,000 kids in the state, and not even the ability within St. Louis County to go outside of these tiny little districts. You can&#8217;t even go from Clayton to Brentwood. People really feel strongly about this and fight the idea of opening up the county and letting kids go within the county to any school district, and then the legislature fights it every year. And I&#8217;m like, we are just becoming less and less competitive.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (13:36):</strong> I don&#8217;t think people understand. I do a lot of work with schools now. We&#8217;re going to lose at a minimum 100,000 children under 15 by 2045. This loss is built into the system based on 27,000 births right now. The numbers are starting to show up in kindergarten. We have a smaller kindergarten class, a smaller first grade class coming in. And so a lot of schools are like, wait a minute, what&#8217;s going on? This is just starting. You have another 20 years, because we have these large cohorts that were still born after the Great Recession that are going to be replaced by smaller cohorts coming in. And there is no significant migration of children coming into the region.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (14:28):</strong> So there are going to be difficult staffing decisions, and people don&#8217;t want to hear it. Like, we cannot continue to hire more teachers.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (14:32):</strong> You have to close schools. You have to close schools, have to merge schools. I&#8217;m doing some work in Parkway. People should not be surprised. Parkway is having meetings this month about what Parkway looks like going forward, and people are discussing consolidation. Rockwood is talking about a 15% decline in 10 years. Go out another 10 years, Rockwood will be talking about school consolidation. St. Charles will be talking about school consolidation in the old St. Charles area, the city of St. Charles. This is coming. Everybody focuses on the city and says the city needs to close schools. But you will see a discussion, I think, between Clayton and Brentwood.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (15:06):</strong> For sure. Clayton had 2,500 kids. Now they&#8217;ve got closer to 2,000. I mean, that&#8217;s teachers, that&#8217;s buildings. And I know in Indianapolis, I&#8217;ve talked to a superintendent in that area. All parents can pick a public school. And he was like, I had some under-enrolled elementary schools and it was great for me because I put a language immersion program in one to bring parents in. I think the resistance to this idea is all about not wanting kids who aren&#8217;t paying property taxes, but I think it&#8217;s going to flip. Then you&#8217;ll be like, we&#8217;ve got to fill these seats. We&#8217;re paying the same teacher for 18 seats that we could pay for 22 kids. At some point they&#8217;re going to have to start laying off teachers. So I think there are some very difficult decisions ahead that you can see now, and there are things that could be done now, like at least not filling open positions.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (16:16):</strong> I think universities are seeing this, because many of them are relying on tuition and those dollars are not coming in. A smart university has to make cuts because it doesn&#8217;t get any better next year or the following year. There will be fewer students coming in. So universities that want to survive are making necessary cuts to survive.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (16:45):</strong> Again, we don&#8217;t know what the bottom of the birth decline looks like. We just happen to live in a state and a region that has seen a significant decline in children. I keep saying we&#8217;re modeling the future for people, either as a good or bad thing. They&#8217;re like, we want to be like St. Louis, or we don&#8217;t want to do what they did.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (17:13):</strong> I think a lot of people are starting to understand this. It&#8217;s like, we&#8217;re letting our children go, and we&#8217;re not doing a very good job of trying to keep them here. When you had 1.8 million births, you had enough to let children leave your region, leave the state. You don&#8217;t have that luxury anymore. Our models show the region should have anywhere between 1.3 million to a million births coming in over the next 50 years. We hope it&#8217;s not a million births, because that means you have an 800,000 decline in your population under 50. Or it&#8217;s 1.3 million births, which is only a 500,000 decline. But that&#8217;s coming.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (17:43):</strong> How does immigration factor into it? Because I remember the last time we talked, you said that St. Louis is not very immigration friendly. And of course, the current national environment is not very immigration friendly.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (18:03):</strong> Missouri and St. Louis cannot rely on immigration to save it. It&#8217;s not a state that immigrants are going to come to in large numbers. They&#8217;re going to go to Florida. Miami leads the country. Even though domestic migration has people leaving, international migrants are going there as their top destination. They&#8217;re going to Philadelphia, they&#8217;re going to New York. We get immigrants who come here, but it&#8217;s a very small number, like 6,000 a year. We&#8217;re not even in the top tier as a top 25 metropolitan region. And Missouri is not either. So Missouri has to rely on domestic migration.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]">The data will show that probably for the decade, there will be more people dying than babies born in Missouri. Missouri will start to have from a natural perspective more people dying than babies born. And 91 counties across the whole state will have more people dying than babies born. So Missouri will become dependent for growth on domestic migration.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (19:29):</strong> Or do we just accept that we&#8217;re not going to grow anymore? What&#8217;s the impact of that?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (19:33):</strong> Again, it&#8217;s going to be specific. I do think the Springfield area is going to grow, the Branson area, there&#8217;s growth. Part of this is retirement, I think. Kansas City is growing.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (19:42):</strong> Why Kansas City more than St. Louis? What&#8217;s attracting younger people to Kansas City that is not happening here?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (19:49):</strong> Kansas City is a younger region. St. Louis is a fairly old region. Kansas City is a lot younger and it has a large Latino population, and that&#8217;s the largest growing population in the country, birth-rate wise. Latinos are now the second largest population in Kansas City. They surpassed the Black population, which I think even shocked me, because we thought we knew this was coming, but we thought this was going to be post-2030. The fact that it already happened shows just how many Latinos are moving there. And then you have an exodus of Black residents leaving Kansas City as well as St. Louis. I always tell people, when you have young Black families leave or young Black adults leave, those children ultimately leave too. And so that&#8217;s part of the story.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (20:48):</strong> When young people leave, the children that traditionally were born to those young people are now being born in Charlotte, Atlanta, Houston. The number one challenge for St. Louis and the state is the decline in births. If that doesn&#8217;t change, then you&#8217;re going to see that decline start to show up in five to ten years in our schools.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (21:17):</strong> And the private schools will simply go out of business because that&#8217;s dictated by the private market. Or they&#8217;ll do what many of the Catholic schools are doing. They think, we&#8217;re going to have middle school now, or we&#8217;re going to be K through 12. But then what about the parochial schools? There&#8217;s no growth. They&#8217;re just taking children out of other schools and putting them in their school system.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (21:45):</strong> And so again, I go back to Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is about how do we manage population decline? The city is growing a little bit, but 100% of the growth in terms of the losses is in the suburbs. And that&#8217;s going to happen in St. Louis. When this loss starts to show up in the demographic accounting, most of the loss is going to be outside of the city of St. Louis. It&#8217;s going to be in the Chesterfield areas. It&#8217;s going to be in St. Charles.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (22:18):</strong> So what could be done from a policy perspective? Chesterfield is trying to have this arts and entertainment district. They put in Topgolf and the concert venues. They&#8217;re trying to attract younger people there. Is it working?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (22:34):</strong> It&#8217;s not working. I mean, they have the same slight increase. I just posted this yesterday. People are shocked. The growth is in non-family households in Chesterfield. If you look at the new development, I call it downtown West Chesterfield. These are million-dollar homes, very expensive. Very few families with kids are there. These are empty nesters or dual-income, no-kids households. It&#8217;s very expensive for young families to get into Chesterfield today, when your entry-level home that was $170,000 in 1980 is $600,000 today. These are the challenges.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (23:23):</strong> So build more starter homes?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (23:32):</strong> You need more entry-level homes. I&#8217;m not even going to use the word affordable. You need attainable homes for two incomes. And they can be built. But what I&#8217;ve heard is that a lot of cities do not want these homes. They want the $600,000 to $700,000 homes because of taxes. And so there is this tension there.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (23:56):</strong> Parkway and Rockwood are going to look very different in 30 years. They were very attractive amenities for young families with children. But I look at the data, and my kids are in Parkway. These schools are under-enrolled. You go and objectively look at the classrooms, you&#8217;re like, there should be 30 kids in these rooms and there&#8217;s 15. It&#8217;s great for me as a parent. I&#8217;m glad there&#8217;s only 15 kids for my fourth grader. One of the classes in Parkway Central, in the middle school, in his math class, there are eight students. I love it as a parent, but as someone who looks at the data, this is not sustainable.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (24:45):</strong> Yeah, lots of one-on-one. Yeah. I&#8217;m just trying to figure out what would cause a renaissance in St. Louis. It doesn&#8217;t feel super safe. It has some great amenities and a great food scene and now MLS soccer. What would it take? Well, number one, you do have the school system problem where the St. Louis public school system is kind of a dumpster fire. So people want to move out if they have small children.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (25:32):</strong> Yeah, the decision to move out is made within the first three years once the baby&#8217;s born. We can see that in the data. When we moved from Chicago, because we lived in the city of Chicago, we wanted to live in the city of St. Louis. I think most people who move from Philadelphia or Boston are living in the city. We thought the city of St. Louis would be offering the same amenities. Because of the Great Recession, I came a year before my family, and we soon realized the city of St. Louis was not the city of Chicago in terms of amenities. And so we ended up in St. Charles. And I think most people make that same decision.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (26:25):</strong> Yeah, my husband and I moved right into the city.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (26:27):</strong> We see it in the data. People are moving into the city from Philadelphia, from Boston, from Houston. But then, like me, if you have children and you&#8217;re not going to pay for private school, because that&#8217;s a tax in many ways, they&#8217;re going to exit out. And then with the Catholic schools closing in the city, there are going to be fewer options.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (26:50):</strong> Yeah. But the public transportation is no good. I mean, there are things.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (26:57):</strong> And it&#8217;s interesting. We did see a kind of experiment during COVID. When COVID happened, the Catholic schools in the county opened up. A lot of families wanted their children in face-to-face instruction. So they left the city. They did not stay. So we had kind of a quasi-experimental design there. Education was very important.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (27:26):</strong> A lot of people left the city because of that and never came back. And that started before COVID. But I think this idea of school choice is something where parents want it. We have enough anecdotal evidence. When Normandy closed, the school system closed, families moved to Normandy to get their kids into Francis Howell. There&#8217;s enough evidence to show that families want to make these decisions. The question would be, would Parkway accept all of the students that would want to be in Parkway?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (27:56):</strong> Yeah, the law would have to say that they would have to. You couldn&#8217;t let them pick and choose.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (28:15):</strong> Yeah. And so the question is, you have a lot of people who would love to be in Parkway. I gave a talk at Marquette and I was shocked because a good percentage of the students there were saying those public school students, but the parents had left to get out to West County for their children. So the question is, do you just let the private market dictate this? Those who can leave the city will ultimately leave the city and get out to West County.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (28:50):</strong> There&#8217;s movement out. And I think in terms of domestic migration, to get parents to move in, you can go to our northern border, Iowa. The state pays for private school tuition. Oklahoma to the south, the state pays for private school tuition. Kansas, you can go to any public school in the state. It&#8217;s 100% open enrollment. Arkansas is one of the strongest for school choice, both public and private. I think we&#8217;re going to be surrounded by it and just have our arms folded across our chest. Because Parkway doesn&#8217;t want all those kids coming, or Rockwood doesn&#8217;t want all those kids coming. Parents are simply going to move across the border to a state where they can pick any public or private school. I&#8217;ve talked to some parents who have reached out to say, I&#8217;m thinking about moving to the region, is it true I can&#8217;t pick a school? And I&#8217;m like, it is true. You cannot pick a school. And I think they&#8217;re like, forget it. I&#8217;m not going to make this big decision on where to buy a house. I think if we don&#8217;t do things that are family friendly, and if we don&#8217;t get crime under control in some way, or have a 911 system where when you call somebody responds, I think it&#8217;s interesting that St. Louis will become this example for the nation of what a dying city looks like.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (30:08):</strong> We have three examples today: Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and St. Louis. Tampa is kind of unique because it is a destination for retirees. The Wall Street Journal has an article today on Cleveland, the renaissance of downtown Cleveland. And Detroit too, it&#8217;s a renaissance.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (30:29):</strong> Wow. What about Detroit now? So St. Louis hasn&#8217;t figured out our renaissance yet.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (30:49):</strong> And to be honest with you, I think it will be hard. I&#8217;m not pro anything, but I find this whole debate about the city and county interesting. I&#8217;m not from here, so I don&#8217;t have this history of growing up here. But I think objectively, when I look at the budget of the city of St. Louis and compare it to Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh is a little bit bigger. It&#8217;s got 25,000 more people. But their budget is significantly smaller than St. Louis City&#8217;s budget. Part of me wonders, because the city is both a city and a county, it doesn&#8217;t have enough people or revenue to operate as both. And this is what&#8217;s helping Pittsburgh out. This is what&#8217;s helping Cleveland out, because that county revenue is spread among more taxpayers. In St. Louis City, the county functions are spread among a dwindling number of taxpayers. The city probably cannot be a county anymore. There&#8217;s just too few taxpayers to provide both city services and county services.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (32:08):</strong> I looked at these budgets and I&#8217;m like, my gosh, why is St. Louis&#8217;s budget so much more? I&#8217;m talking not a little bit more, a lot more than Pittsburgh&#8217;s budget. Pittsburgh is having trouble. And I don&#8217;t see the long-term fiscal situation turning around for the city because it&#8217;s got to provide all of these services. The tax base is going to decline. The next three years are probably going to see population loss in the city. The numbers just came out in March, but we&#8217;ll get the numbers in May. It&#8217;ll probably lead the country again in population decline for large cities.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (32:58):</strong> Are we still a top 20 city? We&#8217;re number one in population decline, but what about in population size?</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (33:01):</strong> We&#8217;re number one in decline. Last year, St. Louis City was number one. We&#8217;re declining. We&#8217;re not in the top 20 yet, but we&#8217;re very close. If we go back to 2020, we&#8217;re smaller than we were in 2020. The only reason we&#8217;re not number one in decline is because we had so many immigrants that offset our domestic migration loss. But this will be an interesting 2030 census, because it&#8217;ll be the first time the region will go into a census with more people dying than babies born. In the last census, we had about 75,000 natural growth. We&#8217;re looking at about 25,000 to 30,000 natural decline going into this census without any domestic migration. I tell people that this story is just starting. We have 74 years of the century left.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (34:18):</strong> I&#8217;m just trying to get people to move from the mindset that this is 2010 St. Louis. You don&#8217;t have 36,000 births anymore. You have 27,000 and it&#8217;s declining, one of the fastest declines in the country. Because of it, we&#8217;re aging very fast, and so we have to shift. The region has to make a choice that we start to organize our economy around senior citizens. There&#8217;s lots of money to be made from senior citizens, but we will never be viewed as Nashville or Austin as a place for young people.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (34:52):</strong> Absolutely. That Route 64 corridor is just going to be all retirement homes.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (35:04):</strong> We won&#8217;t be talking about single family homes anymore. We&#8217;ll be talking about senior housing. We&#8217;ll be talking about a workforce that&#8217;s going to work with seniors instead of a workforce for children. And there is money to be made in that economy. I&#8217;m not saying that this is a bad thing. But again, we can look at other parts of the country where this transition has happened. Local government spending is being consumed by senior citizens, the healthcare of senior citizens, the paratransit of seniors. Seniors will lose their ability to drive. That cost typically gets covered by local governments. And so you will not be providing buses for children. You&#8217;ll be providing paratransit to get seniors to their doctors. Churches will have to think about being accessible to seniors. I go to Church of the Ascension and they are not prepared. At Easter, one of the Masses, one-third of this section was senior citizens in wheelchairs. The churches are simply not prepared for a parish that&#8217;s going to be 50% of the population at 70 years old and older. Restaurants have to think about this.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (36:30):</strong> Wow, that&#8217;s crazy. Well, interesting stuff. I hope you&#8217;ll come back and talk about this more. And certainly I&#8217;m very interested in reading everything that you write about what St. Louis can do. We need to figure out a renaissance.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (36:51):</strong> We&#8217;ve got to get younger. The kids are giving us a try. They&#8217;re coming to school, they&#8217;re coming here because they have hopes. We just have not responded the way we need to. A lot of companies are starting to recognize this. I talked to the mayor and said, you need to be a more proactive voice on this. But the region, this is not a city of St. Louis issue. This is a St. Charles issue, a Jefferson County issue, a Chesterfield issue. Most of the people live outside of St. Louis city. The loss we&#8217;re projecting is going to come from the suburbs. And that&#8217;s what&#8217;s happening in Pittsburgh, that&#8217;s what&#8217;s happening in Cleveland. 100% of the demographic loss is in the suburbs.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Susan Pendergrass (37:21):</strong> Yeah. Wow, that&#8217;s crazy. Well, fascinating. Thank you so much for explaining it. I don&#8217;t want to be depressed about it, but it&#8217;s not super optimistic. We&#8217;ll find a silver lining. Thanks, Dr. Sandoval.</p>
<p class="font-claude-response-body break-words whitespace-normal leading-[1.7]"><strong>Ness Sandoval (37:59):</strong> All right, thank you very much.</p>
<p>Produced by Show-Me Opportunity</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/st-louis-demographics-and-the-future-of-the-region-with-ness-sandoval/">St. Louis Demographics and the Future of the Region with Ness Sandoval</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>The Wrong Way to Fix Property Taxes</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/the-wrong-way-to-fix-property-taxes-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 17:46:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://showmeinstitute.org/?p=602765</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>A version of the following commentary appeared in the Springfield News-Leader. Missouri’s property tax system works best when the assessments are accurate, the tax base is wide, and the rates are [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/the-wrong-way-to-fix-property-taxes-2/">The Wrong Way to Fix Property Taxes</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A version of the following commentary appeared in the <a href="https://www.news-leader.com/story/opinion/2026/03/15/show-me-institute-wrong-way-fix-property-taxes-opinion/89110444007/?gnt-cfr=1&amp;gca-cat=p&amp;gca-uir=false&amp;gca-epti=z111203p001250c001250v111203&amp;gca-ft=178&amp;gca-ds=sophi"><strong>Springfield News-Leader</strong></a>.</p>
<p>Missouri’s property tax system works best when the assessments are accurate, the tax base is wide, and the rates are low. That combination will help grow Missouri’s economy for everyone while properly funding the necessary functions of local government. However, a radical change in the system is being put before voters in Webster, Christian, Lawrence, and Dade counties in April. These four counties will vote on whether to prohibit any property tax increases due to reassessments. Current law requires local governments to roll back tax rates as assessments increase, but we all know that taxes still go up, sometimes substantially.</p>
<p>At the Show-Me Institute, we support low taxes, and I am well-aware of how tempting this will be to voters. But using market valuations in reassessment to set tax levels is a good system. While our property tax system needs reforms, eliminating any and all tax increases from reassessments will make Missouri more dependent on other taxes that hurt our economy far more than property taxes do. Hate them as much as you wish, but property taxes indisputably harm economic growth less than other taxes do.</p>
<p>These property tax limitations would reduce the ability of school districts to fund themselves and would make them more dependent on state aid. Consider the following: school districts in St. Louis County regularly receive at least 80% of their funding from local sources, primarily property taxes, and some are over 90%. It is nowhere near that level in Southwest Missouri. Nixa school district in Christian County is only 54% locally funded, while Marshfield school district in Webster is only 46% locally funded. Even Springfield school district, the largest school district in Greene County, where no property taxes changes are proposed, is only 58% locally funded. These changes would make school districts in these counties more dependent on state aid, not less. Again, I’m aware that many voters may view that as a benefit, but it is anything but.</p>
<p>Numerous other harmful effects would come from diluting the market forces (in the form of assessments based on market values) that form the basis of property taxation. California provides us with an example of the harms of these types of property tax caps with its famous Proposition 13, passed in 1978, which dramatically limited increases in property assessments and taxes. Proposition 13 certainly had its intended effect of lowering property taxes for California homeowners. However, it also reduced mobility, significantly increased alternative taxes, limited homeownership opportunities, and caused substantial tax disparities for similar properties receiving similar services. These negative consequences are exactly what these four counties would experience over the long run.</p>
<p>There are also significant constitutional concerns with this legislation. Missouri Constitution Chapter X, Section 3 states that “taxes . . . shall be uniform upon the same class or subclass of subjects within the territorial limits of the authority levying the tax.” So, consider the issue of the Logan-Rogersville R-VIII school district. This school district serves families in three counties. If voters approve these tax changes, the property tax system in one of those three counties would remain unchanged (Greene), while in the other two (Webster and Christian) it would be illegal to have a tax increase from reassessment. It would certainly seem unconstitutional for property owners within the same taxing district who own the same type of property (single-family homes) to face different tax and assessment systems for the same services.</p>
<p>We need property tax reform in Missouri, but this total limitation is too severe. If enacted, the property tax proposals before the voters in these four fast-growing counties would make the region’s overall tax system worse, not better. I hope voters will look past the easy appeal of a tax limit to think about the long-term harms.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/the-wrong-way-to-fix-property-taxes-2/">The Wrong Way to Fix Property Taxes</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>Local Government Transparency</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/state-and-local-government/local-government-transparency/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2025 07:41:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">https://showmeinstitute.org/?post_type=publication&#038;p=602978</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/state-and-local-government/local-government-transparency/">Local Government Transparency</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[


<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Problem</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Local governments often hide documents and spending records from the taxpaying public despite requirements under the Sunshine Law that mandate meaningful transparency.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Solution</h2>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Require that local governments report spending information.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Key Facts</h2>





<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Missouri already has two programs through which local governments may report their spending to facilitate oversight by the public, but thus far only 33 counties and six municipalities are sharing information.</li>
</ul>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>One of the few ways for many taxpayers to obtain detailed information about their government&#8217;s expenditures is through the submission of a Sunshine Law request, but this system is fraught with government roadblocks and weak consequences for statutory violations.</li>
</ul>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">A Checkbook for Missouri</h3>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The creation of the Show-Me Checkbook by the state treasurer&#8217;s office in 2018 and the passage of House Bill 271 in 2021 established voluntary reporting programs in the state for local governments. Yet those developments should be the beginning, not the end, of transparency and accountability for local government in Missouri. Local governing bodies should be required, not invited, to report their spending.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Accountability Pays Dividends</h3>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Online transparency portals ensure that rather than responding to Sunshine Law requests for these data, local governments can simply refer requestors to the continuously updating online resource. At the same time, taxpayers will be able to see in an understandable format where their money is going, and they will be able to keep tabs on the activities of elected leaders and bureaucrats when they choose.</p>



<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Empowering the Auditors</h3>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Missouri adopted House Bill 2111 in the 2024 legislative session to increase the authority of the state auditor to investigate reports of malfeasance in local government. This positive change has improved accountability in local government by giving the state auditor the ability to audit local governments without a formal request or a petition drive in cases where financial irregularities are suspected.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Next, the state should consider adopting requirements and standards for local county auditors in Missouri&#8217;s larger counties (charter, first, and second-class counties). The quality of local auditing varies dramatically, from good in St. Charles County to basically nonexistent in St. Louis County.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Unfortunately, in 2025 the courts overturned a law imposing stricter reporting standards for municipalities within St. Louis County on the grounds that it was a &#8220;special law&#8221; applying only within St. Louis County. The legislature should address that issue by making higher reporting standards applicable to municipalities in every Missouri county.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The use of tax dollars to advocate for or against local government ballot issues has received significant attention this year. The time is right for the legislature to restrict or even eliminate the ability of local governments to use tax dollars to share information on ballot issues with voters. Attempts by local governments to be “neutral” generally make a mockery of the idea of neutrality and should be curtailed.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Policy Recommendations</h2>





<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Make the reporting of local government spending data to the Show-Me Checkbook and the Missouri Accountability Portal database mandatory rather than voluntary.</li>
</ul>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Expand the now-overturned financial reporting requirements in RSMO §67.287 for municipalities in St. Louis County to all municipalities statewide.</li>
</ul>



<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Ban the use of tax dollars by local governments to share information on local ballot issues.</li>
</ul>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/state-and-local-government/local-government-transparency/">Local Government Transparency</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>A Free-Market Guide to Zoning with David Stokes</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/a-free-market-guide-to-zoning-with-david-stokes/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Sep 2025 19:52:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Budget and Spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Business Climate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Welfare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Municipal Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Privatization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Property Rights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Special Taxing Districts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State and Local Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Subsidies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tax Credits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transparency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Workforce]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/a-free-market-guide-to-zoning-with-david-stokes/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Susan Pendergrass speaks with Show-Me Institute Director of Municipal Policy David Stokes about his new paper in the Free-Market Guide to Missouri Municipalities series on planning and zoning. They discuss [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/a-free-market-guide-to-zoning-with-david-stokes/">A Free-Market Guide to Zoning with David Stokes</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><iframe title="Spotify Embed: A Free-Market Guide to Zoning with David Stokes" style="border-radius: 12px" width="100%" height="152" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen allow="autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; fullscreen; picture-in-picture" loading="lazy" src="https://open.spotify.com/embed/episode/6wKTiXA27e3vSAct2yEJXQ?si=E1RzC7nfSxClWVJzqq2G9w&amp;utm_source=oembed"></iframe></p>
<p>Susan Pendergrass speaks with Show-Me Institute Director of Municipal Policy David Stokes about<strong><span style="color: #0000ff;"><a style="color: #0000ff;" href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/state-and-local-government/a-free-market-guide-for-missouri-municipalities-part-three-planning-and-zoning/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> his new paper</a></span></strong> in the <strong><span style="color: #0000ff;"><a style="color: #0000ff;" href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/state-and-local-government/the-free-market-municipality-project/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Free-Market Guide to Missouri Municipalities</a></span></strong> series on planning and zoning. They discuss how fragmentation among local governments can limit overly strict zoning, how zoning rules affect housing affordability, and why “last house syndrome” poses risks for Missouri’s future growth. From accessory dwelling units and minimum parking requirements to the debate over multifamily housing, Stokes explains how smart reforms can protect property rights and keep housing costs down.</p>
<p><a href="https://open.spotify.com/show/0Q1odFTa0wlGZw0jeUZFw6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on Spotify</a></p>
<p><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/show-me-institute-podcast/id1141088545" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on Apple Podcasts </a></p>
<p><a href="https://soundcloud.com/show-me-institute" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on SoundCloud</a></p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Timestamps</span></p>
<p>00:00 Introduction to Planning and Zoning in Missouri<br />
02:35 The Impact of Fragmentation on Zoning<br />
05:24 Housing Affordability and Zoning Regulations<br />
08:22 The Role of Municipalities in Housing Development<br />
11:18 Challenges of NIMBYism and YIMBYism<br />
14:21 Accessory Dwelling Units and Short-Term Rentals<br />
17:00 Planning and Infrastructure in Missouri<br />
19:57 Future Papers and Conclusion</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Transcript</span></p>
<p data-start="0" data-end="475">Susan Pendergrass (00:00)<br data-start="25" data-end="28" />Thank you, David Stokes, so much for being on the podcast this morning. You have a new paper out with the Show Me Institute. Well, it&#8217;s actually part three of an existing series on your free market guide to Missouri municipalities. And this one is on planning and zoning. So thanks for joining us to answer some questions about it. Great. I do have one question that I was just saying before we started recording. I&#8217;ve seen this paper a few times.</p>
<p data-start="477" data-end="521">David Stokes (00:19)<br data-start="497" data-end="500" />Delighted to be here.</p>
<p data-start="523" data-end="931">Susan Pendergrass (00:26)<br data-start="548" data-end="551" />And one thing that I noticed up front is that I complain about the number of school districts in St. Louis County and how fragmented it is. And other folks have also said similar things, too many small municipalities. But it seems to be the case that when we&#8217;re talking about things like planning and zoning and permitting and regulations, that can be a good thing. Is that right?</p>
<p data-start="933" data-end="1354">David Stokes (00:46)<br data-start="953" data-end="956" />Absolutely. Because it&#8217;s harder to enact comprehensive planning, zoning, major things like urban growth boundaries—the extreme things like an urban growth boundary that we don&#8217;t have in Missouri. But it&#8217;s harder to enact that the more governments you have to get in line to agree to it in the first place. So it&#8217;s definitely—I don&#8217;t want to say it&#8217;s a causation. I don&#8217;t think the data is there to—</p>
<p data-start="1356" data-end="1389">Susan Pendergrass (00:47)<br data-start="1381" data-end="1384" />What?</p>
<p data-start="1391" data-end="2318">David Stokes (01:14)<br data-start="1411" data-end="1414" />But it&#8217;s definitely a—I would say it&#8217;s a truism—that there&#8217;s a strong connection between the metropolitan areas that have less strict zoning around the country. And over the past decade, we&#8217;ve really changed a lot in American local public policy to realize the harms of overly strict zoning. Until the past decade or so, it was just sort of assumed that strict zoning was a good thing. So now that we recognize the harms of it, we see that the places like St. Louis—and to a lesser extent, Kansas City—that have more fragmentation. St. Louis by any measure nationally has extreme fragmentation, meaning a whole lot of local governments, be they cities or school districts or fire districts or streetlight districts. I mean, we can really get into the obscure ones here in Missouri, but the more you have of that, the less strict zoning you&#8217;re going to have. And then that results in lower housing prices.</p>
<p data-start="2320" data-end="2352">Susan Pendergrass (02:00)<br data-start="2345" data-end="2348" />You—</p>
<p data-start="2354" data-end="2821">David Stokes (02:10)<br data-start="2374" data-end="2377" />What is the good that comes from that in the end? I think there&#8217;s lots of goods that come from it and some harms too. But the real good—the point of this paper, and the good for somebody who doesn&#8217;t care about public policy or libertarian thoughts or anything and just wants to be able to buy a nice house at an affordable price—is: the less strict zoning you have, the more fragmentation you have, the more you see that in lower housing costs.</p>
<p data-start="2823" data-end="3183">Susan Pendergrass (02:35)<br data-start="2848" data-end="2851" />Yeah, and if you were starting a business too and one municipality, let&#8217;s say Clayton, has really high restrictions on what you can build, where you can build a health office and be—I don&#8217;t know if they do or don&#8217;t—but then you could just simply go next door to the next place and pick a different place that has fewer restrictions.</p>
<p data-start="3185" data-end="4192">David Stokes (02:52)<br data-start="3205" data-end="3208" />You can, and that does happen. One of the ways they&#8217;ve solved that dilemma in St. Louis County especially is they do a lot more code enforcement and permitting at the county level than at the municipal level. Because nobody wants to have to get—if I&#8217;m going to be a plumber—nobody wants to have a plumbing license in 88 different cities. So they do that at the county level. You get your county license and it&#8217;s good throughout all of St. Louis County. Now, there are good aspects of that—mostly that you have to get one license instead of 88, which is an obvious good—but it&#8217;s also subject to abuse as well. It&#8217;s sort of the counterargument to the benefits of fragmentation in that it&#8217;s easier for special interest groups, like in this case, say the plumbers union, to capture licensing in St. Louis County if they only have to dominate one board as opposed to 88 boards. So there are two different ways to go—there&#8217;s the good and then the part of it that might not be quite as good.</p>
<p data-start="4194" data-end="4673">Susan Pendergrass (03:59)<br data-start="4219" data-end="4222" />Yeah, so you make the point in this paper that while St. Louis does not necessarily have a housing affordability issue—or maybe even Missouri—it&#8217;s still worthwhile for folks who are working at the municipal level, like if you&#8217;re working as a newly elected Board of Aldermen or newly elected county board official, to educate yourself on what is and isn&#8217;t possible to make sure that you avoid what you just described as the pitfalls of over-regulating.</p>
<p data-start="4675" data-end="5584">David Stokes (04:28)<br data-start="4695" data-end="4698" />Absolutely. A lot of this paper is about—in the not very scientific term—sort of low-hanging fruit. Just because zoning in Missouri may be less strict than in other states… there&#8217;s actually, I discovered in researching this paper—I’d always understood and known that zoning in Missouri and in St. Louis and Kansas City was less strict than in many other parts of the country—but then I discovered that there is actually an index out of the Wharton Business School at the University of Pennsylvania that ranks metropolitan areas by zoning strictness. And St. Louis is the least strict for zoning of any metropolitan area in the country in this ranking. And Kansas City is sort of in the middle. But then you see that Kansas City on the Missouri side is closer to St. Louis, and it&#8217;s the Kansas side that is more strict and puts them in the middle. So we really do have not-strict zoning.</p>
<p data-start="5586" data-end="5631">Susan Pendergrass (05:05)<br data-start="5611" data-end="5614" />That&#8217;s hilarious.</p>
<p data-start="5633" data-end="6708">David Stokes (05:24)<br data-start="5653" data-end="5656" />And that&#8217;s a wonderful thing, but it doesn&#8217;t mean that cities shouldn&#8217;t make some of these reforms that are coming nationwide that would still benefit Missouri, such as abolishing minimum parking requirements, allowing smaller lot sizes, allowing people to build accessory dwelling units on their own property. It&#8217;s a great reform focus—from the Show Me Institute&#8217;s perspective—because these are changes that can be made that enhance people&#8217;s own property rights and what they can do with their own property, while at the same time giving people more choice. And in the long run, if you do more of these, you&#8217;ll help keep housing prices down even more for people. And in a good way—you&#8217;re not doing this through mandates or rules; you&#8217;re just saying we&#8217;re going to allow people to build even more. And I&#8217;m not against every limit on every property thing ever. There are some that are reasonable—particularly in Missouri we have floodplain limits on where you build that are very reasonable in many cases—but there&#8217;s still a lot of good stuff we can do.</p>
<p data-start="6710" data-end="7779">Susan Pendergrass (06:33)<br data-start="6735" data-end="6738" />Yeah, I saw recently last week that in the upcoming election cycle, housing affordability is a top issue for folks. This is really bubbling up the list of priorities because it&#8217;s gotten so expensive and, you know, I keep reading about why people can&#8217;t afford to move, and they can&#8217;t afford to sell their home, or they can&#8217;t afford to buy a home. And certainly some markets—like you mentioned in the paper, like Portland—and you mentioned this briefly: Portland&#8217;s got a brown zone and a green zone, and you can&#8217;t build in the green zone. You have to stay in the brown zone, and it makes it very prohibitively expensive to build new housing stock in Portland, and the prices have gone up dramatically. We do not yet have that problem in St. Louis, but I know that it&#8217;s on a lot of people&#8217;s minds and certainly, statewide, we still have some concerns about having enough affordable housing for everybody. I do think it&#8217;s important to make sure that we don&#8217;t let regulation creep happen so that we find ourselves raising our prices artificially.</p>
<p data-start="7781" data-end="8151">David Stokes (07:36)<br data-start="7801" data-end="7804" />And you see this in disputes in our exurban areas now in, say, St. Charles and Jefferson County—surrounding counties of St. Louis—and on the Kansas City side as well. Last year, for example, in St. Charles County, a big new subdivision was rejected in a wooded part of the county—I think it was near Weldon Spring. They&#8217;re also allowing some, but—</p>
<p data-start="8153" data-end="8220">Susan Pendergrass (07:56)<br data-start="8178" data-end="8181" />Was it Weldon Spring, or what was that?</p>
<p data-start="8222" data-end="9218">David Stokes (08:02)<br data-start="8242" data-end="8245" />And that&#8217;s the dilemma that people face: as places like St. Charles and Jefferson County grow and get more full, there&#8217;s going to be inevitable pressure from the people there now to stop new building. It&#8217;s called last-house syndrome: &#8220;Great, my new home here is great. Now don&#8217;t build any more because I got the house and it&#8217;s perfect.&#8221; You see that everywhere, and you understand the concerns. I try not to completely ignore the concerns of the folks, because they&#8217;re not always wrong—of course, we&#8217;ll go back to the floodplain issue—but you&#8217;ll have people worry. It&#8217;s the people there now: concerns about traffic and overbuilding and destruction of wooded areas and too dense and all those things. But you want people to realize that other people probably said the same thing before they built your house, and it was a good thing that people in most instances really said no to that, and it allowed that construction to continue. And I really want people to realize that.</p>
<p data-start="9220" data-end="9269">Susan Pendergrass (08:34)<br data-start="9245" data-end="9248" />Yeah. That&#8217;s right. ⁓</p>
<p data-start="9271" data-end="10395">David Stokes (09:00)<br data-start="9291" data-end="9294" />If we go—it&#8217;s not about any one subdivision, because look, there probably are certain instances in certain places where the new zoning is too dense, whatever it may be—it&#8217;s not that every rejection is always completely wrong. But if you start in Missouri making a pattern of this in the outer areas of Kansas City and St. Louis, where you start turning down a lot of these new subdivisions to preserve whatever it is that people moved out there for 20 years ago, then housing prices are going to increase in Missouri. They will increase substantially, and it won&#8217;t take that long if you really do stop the building. So that&#8217;s one of the takeaways from this paper: to the largest extent possible, we need to keep allowing the building of these new homes or apartments. And obviously a big part of the paper is that apartments should be generally allowed in more places too. That&#8217;s how we&#8217;re going to continue to have low housing costs, and that&#8217;s the benefit of it. It&#8217;s not about one subdivision in one space, but if it becomes a trend, it&#8217;s really going to be a problem—the trend being protecting it.</p>
<p data-start="10397" data-end="10577">Susan Pendergrass (10:15)<br data-start="10422" data-end="10425" />Yeah, and the multifamily for sure. What are your findings around that? People don&#8217;t seem to want to have to look at apartment buildings. Is that right?</p>
<p data-start="10579" data-end="11331">David Stokes (10:25)<br data-start="10599" data-end="10602" />They don&#8217;t—there&#8217;s just some natural rejection against it. And it&#8217;s frustrating to see. In some spots—I remember in the City of St. Louis; this is one where, when you lived in St. Louis, you lived near there—at the corner of Skinker and Delmar there was a proposal for a large apartment building right there, and it got a lot of opposition, and it has not moved forward. It was stopped. I hope it comes back because it&#8217;s a perfect lot for an apartment building. It&#8217;s just an empty lot—it was a chicken restaurant for many, many years and a popular one—but it&#8217;s been vacant forever. And it&#8217;s right near public transit. So it&#8217;s the perfect idea where you should be able to build there, and you shouldn&#8217;t have generous or extensive—</p>
<p data-start="11333" data-end="11391">Susan Pendergrass (10:59)<br data-start="11358" data-end="11361" />An abandoned empty lot, right?</p>
<p data-start="11393" data-end="11487">David Stokes (11:18)<br data-start="11413" data-end="11416" />—parking requirements for those buildings, because one of the projects—</p>
<p data-start="11489" data-end="12215">Susan Pendergrass (11:21)<br data-start="11514" data-end="11517" />That&#8217;s what people were kind of freaking out about though, was the parking. Like, where are all these cars going to go? And there was one across the street and they had only put in like one parking space for every two units or something, and they figured that people would use public transport. Anyway, I remember the pushback on that. And it&#8217;s this NIMBYism–YIMBYism thing, right? It&#8217;s so hard to push people to YIMBYism—yes in my backyard—because of things they don&#8217;t… I don&#8217;t… These same people often talk a lot about housing affordability, so I don&#8217;t mean to overgeneralize, but there are some of the very same people who are so concerned about it who don&#8217;t want to look at apartment buildings.</p>
<p data-start="12217" data-end="12733">David Stokes (11:50)<br data-start="12237" data-end="12240" />Right, don&#8217;t want to—and you understand. That&#8217;s a very liberal area that we&#8217;re talking about. If you were to define the politics of that area, you&#8217;re right: many of the residents of those communities in both the city and in University City right there would, in theory, in the big picture, probably agree, but then, &#8220;Oh, we don&#8217;t want this development here.&#8221; And it was a perfect place for a new apartment. Again, of all the St. Louis area, it&#8217;s one of the best areas served by public transit—</p>
<p data-start="12735" data-end="12767">Susan Pendergrass (12:06)<br data-start="12760" data-end="12763" />Yes.</p>
<p data-start="12769" data-end="13062">David Stokes (12:31)<br data-start="12789" data-end="12792" />—with buses and MetroLink and the WashU shuttles, because so many people who would be in those apartments would be WashU students. They&#8217;ve got that extensive shuttle system. But it was rejected, and I hope it comes back. And that&#8217;s just one of many, many examples of it.</p>
<p data-start="13064" data-end="13329">Susan Pendergrass (12:31)<br data-start="13089" data-end="13092" />Yeah, yeah. What about the—what part of zoning and planning is this push in the City of St. Louis, anyway, to try to get people to move downtown? Is that something that&#8217;s coded in? I feel like they&#8217;re trying to get people to go downtown.</p>
<p data-start="13331" data-end="15032">David Stokes (13:03)<br data-start="13351" data-end="13354" />They are. And thankfully, I don&#8217;t think zoning is preventing that. Of all the reasons people may or may not be choosing to move downtown—fear of crime and businesses leaving downtown, the jobs—as somebody who lived downtown in the late 1990s and early 2000s, to move down there when many of the jobs have left—fear—it&#8217;s a harder thing to convince. But I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s— I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s difficult or has ever been difficult for the loft developers of the &#8217;90s to get permission to take an empty commercial building and turn it into lofts. There might have been a lot of issues they had to deal with, but zoning—I don&#8217;t believe—was one of them. Thankfully that&#8217;s a very good thing. But it&#8217;s one of the fun parts about this paper, right? We&#8217;re talking in the other papers and in the ones to come about the best ways to do public safety and public works and a lot of things. In most of these instances we all agree somebody has to do this service, and it&#8217;s just a question of: does the city provide it themselves? Do they contract with a neighboring municipality to do it—such as a small city contracting with a neighboring city to do police service? Should you let the private sector do it in a regulated manner, like utilities? But we can all agree it has to be done. Whereas I started this paper saying: despite the fact that it may be incredibly common, cities don&#8217;t actually need planning or zoning—life can exist without it. And that&#8217;s where the current HOA options come into play. And the history of HOAs in St. Louis, in the private place model, is such an interesting part of that. So there&#8217;s a little bit of the historic discussion of all of this in the paper too.</p>
<p data-start="15034" data-end="15270">Susan Pendergrass (14:53)<br data-start="15059" data-end="15062" />So where do Missouri municipalities for the most part right now stand on things like—two questions I&#8217;m going to ask you—accessory dwelling units and short-term rentals or Airbnbs? Where do they stand on ADUs?</p>
<p data-start="15272" data-end="16152">David Stokes (15:06)<br data-start="15292" data-end="15295" />Well, slowly but surely, we&#8217;re starting to permit ADUs. We haven&#8217;t had any sort of statewide, to my knowledge, overarching legislation. And that&#8217;s where the fact that we have low housing costs in Missouri matters. I don&#8217;t think we&#8217;re going to see the California situation that had to go statewide because none of the municipalities would agree to it. I don&#8217;t think we&#8217;ll see that here because there&#8217;s not the tremendous high-cost-of-housing crisis to push that. But slowly but surely, cities are starting to allow more ADUs, and that&#8217;s a very good thing. When you get out into rural areas—and in some places that don&#8217;t even have zoning in the first place—you can do any ADU you want to, or the zoning is so loose that of course you can build an apartment above your garage if you&#8217;d like to. Why are you even asking? But the cities have the rules against it.</p>
<p data-start="16154" data-end="16202">Susan Pendergrass (15:52)<br data-start="16179" data-end="16182" />That&#8217;s where I live.</p>
<p data-start="16204" data-end="17861">David Stokes (16:03)<br data-start="16224" data-end="16227" />Slowly but surely moving in the right direction there. And then it&#8217;s going in the opposite way with short-term rentals. Slowly but surely most cities are instituting short-term rental limitations. I&#8217;m not automatically opposed to that in every case. I get it: if you have a neighborhood and all of a sudden there&#8217;s a house where big parties are being thrown every weekend because they&#8217;re renting it out to different groups of people to throw parties, you&#8217;re going to hate that, and that&#8217;s going to impact the quality of your life. So I&#8217;ve been saying for a few years now that the short-term rental regulations I support would generally be things that don&#8217;t go to a blanket prohibition. I think that&#8217;s too far—and most cities aren&#8217;t doing that—but rather really focus on punishment of the property owner for repeated rule-breaking. One party is maybe one party, but if there&#8217;s a trend where you own the property and the people you&#8217;re renting to are consistently out of control, then the fines should be increased. I wouldn&#8217;t be opposed to them getting fairly steep up to a point too—that if it happens too often, you would lose your business license to operate that short-term rental. Because I do think that if you&#8217;re doing it a lot—if you&#8217;re routinely renting it out—you should be treated a little more like a hotel. We don&#8217;t want to give short-term rentals an advantage over the hotel-motel industry. You want that playing field to be as level as possible, especially for people who are renting their houses or condos or whatever out a lot. So then pull that license if it&#8217;s an abuse that’s happening consistently. But let&#8217;s try to—</p>
<p data-start="17863" data-end="17921">Susan Pendergrass (17:55)<br data-start="17888" data-end="17891" />Well, I had that on my street.</p>
<p data-start="17923" data-end="18023">David Stokes (17:56)<br data-start="17943" data-end="17946" />—go to a method through crackdown on rule-breaking, not blanket prohibitions.</p>
<p data-start="18025" data-end="18683">Susan Pendergrass (18:00)<br data-start="18050" data-end="18053" />Yeah, we had that on my street in St. Louis, and it was a street of, I don&#8217;t know, three- or four-bedroom houses, and they somehow had eight bedrooms and a pool, which was very rare in my neighborhood. So they mostly just rented it out to college students and got called all the time—the police got brought in all the time for noise complaints. And there wasn&#8217;t really a good mechanism in place at the time to prevent it from happening. So I agree that there should be some limitations around them, but not to make it so strict that people can&#8217;t use it as intended. I mean, I stay in Airbnbs all the time. I like having them, but—</p>
<p data-start="18685" data-end="19689">David Stokes (18:36)<br data-start="18705" data-end="18708" />Now, that police dilemma—that&#8217;s something in St. Louis and probably Kansas City, a few big cities, where the cops just have better things to do than break up parties. I mean, they&#8217;ve got violent crimes to address. That&#8217;s an issue: how are they going to take it seriously enough? In the average Missouri suburb or mid-sized cities, the police are going to take that a little more seriously, I would think. And a good comparison I like is in Lake of the Ozarks, where some cities have instituted strict rules against short-term rentals, while others, like Osage Beach—at least as of our research—hadn&#8217;t instituted anything and took a much more free-market approach: &#8220;We&#8217;re a tourist area; we want tourists to come here.&#8221; So it&#8217;ll be a good natural experiment over time to see how it affects property values, how growth is affected, as different comparable cities in the Lake of the Ozarks region choose different paths to move forward. So I definitely look forward to following that.</p>
<p data-start="19691" data-end="19989">Susan Pendergrass (19:37)<br data-start="19716" data-end="19719" />Well, then I’ll know—another component to this paper is on planning. I think you just said a city doesn&#8217;t have to do planning if they don&#8217;t choose to, but are Missouri cities or municipalities planners? I mean, is that a planned thing, or are we more like anything goes?</p>
<p data-start="19991" data-end="20053">David Stokes (19:56)<br data-start="20011" data-end="20014" />Most Missouri cities have plans. Right?</p>
<p data-start="20055" data-end="20190">Susan Pendergrass (19:57)<br data-start="20080" data-end="20083" />I&#8217;ve been to New Town, by the way. I just want to say I have visited New Town, so—before you start talking.</p>
<p data-start="20192" data-end="22232">David Stokes (20:03)<br data-start="20212" data-end="20215" />Well, that&#8217;s the architectural planning—how do we want to design it? Then there&#8217;s the legal, defined planning. And luckily, again, I really don&#8217;t think Missouri cities need to do any planning outside of general infrastructure planning. So I shouldn&#8217;t say they don&#8217;t need to do any planning—there&#8217;s the general infrastructure planning that pretty much everybody supports, meaning you should have an idea of how growth is going to go in your city and where you&#8217;re going to put sewers and sidewalks and streets. You want a general long-term plan for that, even if that plan is—as it should be—thoroughly adjustable and can be changed as growth happens naturally. But then you get into planning like we mentioned with Portland earlier—urban growth boundaries—where the planners really start to say, &#8220;You can live here; you cannot live here; you can build here; you cannot build here,&#8221; and it gets to be really extreme. We don&#8217;t really have that in Missouri. Thankfully, the plans that cities do adopt can be easily amended by any city council. They can be changed. When I worked at St. Louis County, we dealt with the county planning commission for the parts of the council district I worked in that were unincorporated, where the planning commission had a lot to say on that. So elected officials can and should be able to change that plan as they go. And then the biggest—let&#8217;s say you permitted a development that&#8217;s against your plan, but the elected officials want to do it anyway—I usually don&#8217;t have a problem with that. The fact that it&#8217;s inconsistent with your plan would generally be something that, if locals want to sue to stop the development, they would cite in the lawsuit—that it was inconsistent with your process and your plan—and then it would be determined by judges and the whole legal process. But planning in Missouri is something that, outside of basic infrastructure planning, cities shouldn&#8217;t really do. And to the extent that they do it, it&#8217;s easily amended and changed. And that&#8217;s a good thing.</p>
<p data-start="22234" data-end="22330">Susan Pendergrass (21:55)<br data-start="22259" data-end="22262" />Mm-hmm. So the first two papers in your series were taxation, right?</p>
<p data-start="22332" data-end="22642">David Stokes (22:20)<br data-start="22352" data-end="22355" />Taxation was number two, and the first one was just sort of the structure of municipal government in Missouri. It had a lot to do with city managers. And then the fragmentation issue was addressed as well in the first one that we discussed here, because that&#8217;s a part of that, obviously.</p>
<p data-start="22644" data-end="22791">Susan Pendergrass (22:23)<br data-start="22669" data-end="22672" />Introductory. Okay. And taxation. And this is zoning and planning. Right. And then what&#8217;s on deck? What&#8217;s the next one?</p>
<p data-start="22793" data-end="23660">David Stokes (22:41)<br data-start="22813" data-end="22816" />We don&#8217;t actually know yet what number four will be—germinating. Most of them are ready to go pretty quickly, so I think the next one will be released within the next two months—certainly this year. And I think it&#8217;s going to be on public works. But we have papers coming on public works, public safety, parks and recreation—which is one I&#8217;m really going to enjoy. You go to Forest Park and there&#8217;s all the great things in St. Louis&#8217;s Forest Park, and then you realize that many of the wonderful things there are actually done under contract with the private sector, either for-profit businesses like the Boathouse and the ice rink that pay the city to operate, or nonprofit businesses like the Muni that have been in the park for a long time. So it&#8217;s a great option to talk about all the different ways to provide parks and recreation services.</p>
<p data-start="23662" data-end="23695">Susan Pendergrass (23:18)<br data-start="23687" data-end="23690" />Yeah.</p>
<p data-start="23697" data-end="23842">David Stokes (23:35)<br data-start="23717" data-end="23720" />But those are at least three of the upcoming ones. And then there&#8217;ll be a concluding, summarize-it-all-up section as well.</p>
<p data-start="23844" data-end="24046">Susan Pendergrass (23:41)<br data-start="23869" data-end="23872" />I look forward to hearing more about those, and thanks for coming on to talk about planning and zoning. It&#8217;s going to be a great series when it all gets put together. Thanks.</p>
<p data-start="24048" data-end="24098" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="">David Stokes (23:48)<br data-start="24068" data-end="24071" />Thank you very much, Susan.</p>
<p>Produced by Show-Me Opportunity</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/a-free-market-guide-to-zoning-with-david-stokes/">A Free-Market Guide to Zoning with David Stokes</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>In St. Louis County, Who Will Audit the Auditors?</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/transparency/in-st-louis-county-who-will-audit-the-auditors/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jul 2025 00:34:13 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[State and Local Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transparency]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/in-st-louis-county-who-will-audit-the-auditors/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>A version of this commentary appeared in the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. When one thinks of no-show political jobs in Missouri government, most people (at least those with a knowledge of Missouri [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/transparency/in-st-louis-county-who-will-audit-the-auditors/">In St. Louis County, Who Will Audit the Auditors?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>A version of this commentary appeared in the </em><a href="https://www.stltoday.com/opinion/column/article_44fde062-f333-4021-9018-c8c8040c0f8e.html"><strong>St. Louis Post-Dispatch</strong>.</a></p>
<p>When one thinks of no-show political jobs in Missouri government, most people (at least those with a knowledge of Missouri history) would think of the infamous Pendergast political machine of Kansas City a century ago. Giving out jobs to political supporters who rarely, if ever, were required to actually show up to work was a staple strategy of that machine (and many others). Over the past decade though, there has been another job reminiscent of the well-paid, no-show jobs of political yore: the St. Louis County Auditor.</p>
<p>In June, the St. Louis County Council fired the county auditor, Ms. Toni Jackson, for lack of work output after her office completed only two audits in her more than three years in the position. (The county auditor is one of the only jobs in county government that reports to the council instead of the county executive.) Jackson had been hired in 2021 after the council had fired the previous auditor, Mr. Mark Tucker, also for lack of audit output. How little work have the last two auditors been doing? A quick perusal of the St. Louis County Auditor’s Office website shows that the office has released just 13 reports since 2018. Many of these reports do not qualify as “audits.” For example, three of the 13 reports were short 2018 memos about pet adoptions.</p>
<p>By comparison, the St. Charles County Auditor’s Office released 13 audits in 2024 alone, many of them substantial. If you are keeping score, that is 13 audits in one year in St. Charles County, and 13 reports (including a few actual audits) over eight years in St. Louis County. As frustrating as the lack of production in St. Louis County has been, one almost has to admire the audacity of it all. In Tucker’s case, he also wasn’t properly qualified for the job, so some of the blame for hiring him was on the council. In Jackson’s case, she was well-qualified, at least on paper, so the fact that she didn’t do the work is all the more frustrating.</p>
<p>It’s not like St. Louis County government is so clean that it has no need for auditors. I know of at least two cases of county employees embezzling large amounts of money in the past two decades. A qualified (and courageous) auditor could have raised questions about the activities of former St. Louis County executive Steve Stenger, who went to prison for various nefarious activities right when the prior auditor was busily engaged in doing nothing. A state audit of Stenger’s criminal actions as county executive identified Tucker’s lack of qualifications and actions as one of the reasons Stenger got away with his activities for as long as he did. Stenger, a CPA himself, was well aware of Tucker’s poor record as auditor. The former county executive routinely criticized the council for hiring Tucker while quietly benefitting from Tucker’s inability (or desire) to track any of Stenger’s illicit actions.</p>
<p>There is a pressing need for quality audits in local government. In a review of New York State comptroller audits of New York municipalities between 2003 and 2009, 234 out of the 259 audits included reports of deficiencies and recommendations for improvements in internal controls. Twenty-five percent of those cities with internal control problems had funds missing or unaccounted for (though outright fraud or theft was likely not the reason in every one of those instances). Within St. Louis County, two unsupervised clerks were charged in 2023 with stealing $650,000 from the village of Flordell Hills.</p>
<p>One of the recent St. Charles County audits identified several county-operated phone lines that the county was improperly paying phone taxes on. (As a government agency, it is supposed to be exempt from those taxes.) The audit identified the oversight and the matter was corrected. Have the last two St. Louis County auditors saved taxpayers money with insightful analysis and helpful digging? Since it is impossible to identify problems by audits when you don’t do any real audits, we all know the answer to that question is “no”.</p>
<p>Unreliable auditors have compromised the effectiveness of St. Louis County government in recent years. While outside auditors have reviewed the county’s annual financial statements for accuracy, the lack of a proactive internal auditor has deprived county residents and taxpayers of the watchdog they need and deserve.</p>
<p>Tom Pendergast may have mastered the use of the no-show political patronage job, but it was auditors who helped end his reign and send him to prison for tax evasion. Government auditors aren’t going to detect waste, fraud, or errors with taxpayer dollars if they don’t show up to do the job in the first place. Hopefully, that simple requirement will be understood by whomever the council hires next.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/transparency/in-st-louis-county-who-will-audit-the-auditors/">In St. Louis County, Who Will Audit the Auditors?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>HB 1044 and Expanding Charter Schools in Missouri</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/school-choice/hb-1044-expanding-charter-schools-in-missouri/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Feb 2025 23:43:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[School Choice]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/hb-1044-and-expanding-charter-schools-in-missouri/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Senate Bill (SB) 727, passed into law last year, allows any state-approved sponsor to authorize a charter school in Boone County (the Columbia area). Prior to SB 727, only charter [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/school-choice/hb-1044-expanding-charter-schools-in-missouri/">HB 1044 and Expanding Charter Schools in Missouri</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/blog/education/our-thoughts-on-sb-727/">Senate Bill (SB) 727</a>, passed into law last year, allows any state-approved sponsor to authorize a charter school in Boone County (the Columbia area). Prior to SB 727, only charter schools in Kansas City Public Schools and St. Louis City Public Schools were explicitly permitted to have any sponsor.</p>
<p>As of today, <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/blog/school-choice/expanding-the-vip-list-for-charter-school-eligibility/">no local school board</a> has ever sponsored a charter school in their district, despite having the ability to do so. Until that trend is broken, the creation of charter schools depends on securing sponsorship from other <a href="https://dese.mo.gov/quality-schools/charter-schools">state-approved</a> entities, such as:</p>
<ul>
<li>4-year universities;</li>
<li>Community colleges;</li>
<li>Private universities;</li>
<li>Technical schools; or</li>
<li>the Missouri Charter Public School Commission.</li>
</ul>
<p><a href="https://legiscan.com/MO/bill/HB1044/2025">House Bill (HB) 1044</a> would expand charter access by allowing any state-approved sponsor to authorize a charter school in districts located within a charter county or in any municipality with greater than 30,000 inhabitants. This bill would be a major step toward increasing educational options, fostering competition, and driving innovation in Missouri.</p>
<p><strong><em>Which School Districts Would HB 1044 Apply To?</em></strong></p>
<p>Charter school expansion in this bill would be <a href="https://worldpopulationreview.com/states/cities/missouri">limited</a> to school districts in or partly in St. Louis County, Kansas City, Jefferson County, Clay County, St. Charles County, St. Joseph, Springfield, Columbia, Joplin, Jefferson City, and Cape Girardeau. According to my analysis of the bill language, only around 60 school districts would be included.</p>
<p>It should be noted that if a district has been provisionally accredited (or unaccredited) for <a href="https://dese.mo.gov/quality-schools/charter-schools?utm_source=chatgpt.com">three consecutive years</a>, any of the listed state-approved entities can sponsor a charter school in that district. Recently, the Missouri Charter Public School Commission <a href="https://news.stlpublicradio.org/education/2020-11-19/st-louis-county-may-get-its-first-charter-school">created</a> a charter school called the <a href="https://www.stlamerican.com/news/local_news/the-leadership-school-coming-to-normandy-in-the-fall-of-2021/article_388d71fa-43b6-11eb-bfa8-3fb3adc7be78.html">Leadership School</a> in the provisionally accredited Normandy Schools Collaborative.</p>
<p><strong><em>The Need to Create a Truly Choice-Rich Educational Marketplace</em></strong></p>
<p>Expanding charter access is a good step, but it is only one part of building a stronger educational marketplace. <a href="https://www.showmeinstitute.org/publication/education/model-policy-open-enrollment-in-missouri/">Open enrollment</a> is another necessary policy for our state, and it can actually amplify the potential benefits a charter school can bring.</p>
<p>For example, the <a href="https://autismcharter.org/history/">Arizona Autism Charter Schools</a> attract families from significant distances, with some parents commuting as far as <a href="https://aforarizona.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/AZ-Transportation-Grant-Awardee-Snapshot_Cycle-1.pdf">50 miles</a> to access better services for their children. This opportunity exists partly due to Arizona’s open enrollment policies, which enable the charter to serve students across the entire region rather than just one district.</p>
<p>HB 1044 again moves Missouri in the right direction, but there should be no restrictions on where charter schools can operate. Of the 43 states with charter schools, Missouri is the only state <a href="https://www.showmeinstitute.org/publication/education/model-policy-expanding-charter-schools-throughout-missouri/">without a rural charter</a>. That needs to change, as educational entrepreneurs across the state should be able to go to the Missouri Charter Public School Commission if the local school district denies their application.</p>
<p>Missouri must build on last session’s momentum and create a stronger, more competitive, and more innovative educational landscape where every family can access high-quality options, no matter where they live.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/school-choice/hb-1044-expanding-charter-schools-in-missouri/">HB 1044 and Expanding Charter Schools in Missouri</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>St. Charles County Council Approves Zoning Change for New Housing Development</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/regulation/st-charles-county-council-approves-zoning-change-for-new-housing-development/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Jul 2024 20:27:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/st-charles-county-council-approves-zoning-change-for-new-housing-development/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>On Monday, June 25, the St. Charles County Council passed Bill No. 5300. The bill rezones a total of just over 135 acres of land adjacent to the August A. [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/regulation/st-charles-county-council-approves-zoning-change-for-new-housing-development/">St. Charles County Council Approves Zoning Change for New Housing Development</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On Monday, June 25, the <a href="https://www.youtube.com/live/0ZuUvKhMRLg?si=BKWee2vVUgIBk_cO&amp;t=5329">St. Charles County Council</a> passed <a href="https://www.sccmo.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/14049?fileID=40975">Bill No. 5300</a>. The bill rezones a total of just over 135 acres of land adjacent to the August A. Busch Memorial Conservation Area from an agricultural district to residential districts of varying minimum lot sizes.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.sccmo.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/13678?fileID=40735">request to amend the zoning map</a> was <a href="https://www.sccmo.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/14001?fileID=40826">approved</a> by the Planning and Zoning Commission in May. The request was submitted in order to accommodate the development of a new subdivision, the Highlands at Busch Wildlife. The bill is <a href="https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/government-politics/after-outcry-developer-trims-plan-in-redo-of-tall-tree-subdivision-in-st-charles-county/article_26ebd0b4-0bdf-11ef-840a-9bf476c67d67.html">revised</a> from an earlier proposal called Tall Tree. The Tall Tree <a href="https://www.sccmo.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/12408?fileID=37518">zoning amendment request</a>, which was <a href="https://www.sccmo.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/12532?fileID=37631">denied</a> by the Planning and Zoning Commission in June 2023, was a 556-lot proposal on about 355 acres. The new development is for only 120 lots, <a href="https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/stcharles/fewer-houses-varied-lots-developer-pitches-revised-subdivision-in-rural-st-charles-county/article_5b7a2382-2785-11ef-9d77-9f47d93fbe5a.html">cutting down the number of homes</a> in the development by over 75% while reducing acreage by around 60% compared to the original proposal.</p>
<p>The St. Charles County Council chambers were filled with <a href="https://www.firstalert4.com/2024/06/25/st-charles-county-council-approves-request-rezone-land-along-highway-dd/">disapproval from St. Charles residents</a> and nearby O’Fallon neighbors. Residents expressed concerns about negative environmental impacts (see the Missouri Department of Conservation’s comments on p. 42–43 of the <a href="https://www.sccmo.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Item/13678?fileID=40735">amendment request</a>) and increased traffic along state highway DD. Nonetheless, the bill passed by a vote of 5–2. Interestingly, the councilman of District 3—the district where the Highlands at Busch Wildlife will be built—voted in favor of the bill. Following the bill’s passage, a portion of the dissenting public in attendance left the room, and some even <a href="https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/stcharles/st-charles-county-developer-can-move-forward-with-controversial-120-home-project/article_c4eecbce-3284-11ef-9158-5f1fee46ff6e.html">shouted their displeasure</a> at the council while doing so. It is not uncommon for current residents of a community to be opposed to new development in their area. However, is this new development really something the citizens of St. Charles and the surrounding communities should be so upset about?</p>
<p>A 2018 paper titled <a href="https://furmancenter.org/files/Supply_Skepticism_-_Final.pdf">Supply Skepticism: Housing Supply and Affordability</a> from NYU’s Furman Center addresses many of the concerns commonly expressed by residents about new development. The paper discusses how development­—at any price point—can help improve overall housing affordability. Furthermore, development can also increase productivity and signal that the given community is a place where people want to live. This does not necessarily suggest that development should always happen anytime or anyplace. However, restricting housing supply is associated with numerous problems including <a href="https://www.mercatus.org/research/working-papers/impact-land-use-regulation-racial-segregation-evidence-massachusetts-zoning">increased racial segregation</a>, <a href="https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.32.1.3">decreased mobility, and slower economic growth</a>.</p>
<p>While some St. Charles citizens may be dismayed by the passage of Bill No. 5300, hopefully the benefits of increased housing supply will become more evident over time. Who knows—maybe other communities around the state will even look to St. Charles as an example of how allowing the market supply of housing to move more freely can help meet the needs of their community.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/regulation/st-charles-county-council-approves-zoning-change-for-new-housing-development/">St. Charles County Council Approves Zoning Change for New Housing Development</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>How Will the Four-day School Week Progress in Light of SB 727?</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/education/how-will-the-four-day-school-week-progress-in-light-of-sb-727/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Mar 2024 01:27:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/how-will-the-four-day-school-week-progress-in-light-of-sb-727/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The enormous 167-page education bill, Senate Bill (SB) 727, recently passed out of the Missouri Senate and is heading to the House. There are a number of reforms in the [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/education/how-will-the-four-day-school-week-progress-in-light-of-sb-727/">How Will the Four-day School Week Progress in Light of SB 727?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The enormous 167-page education bill, <a href="https://www.senate.mo.gov/24info/BTS_Web/Bill.aspx?SessionType=R&amp;BillID=244">Senate Bill (SB) 727</a>, recently passed out of the Missouri Senate and is heading to the House. There are a number of reforms in the Senate’s proposal, including:</p>
<table width="678">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="318">&#8211;  Education savings account (ESA) expansion</p>
<p>&#8211;  Charter school expansion</p>
<p>&#8211;  New voting procedures for moving to a four-day school week</p>
<p>&#8211;  Re-establishment of required minimum days of instruction in certain school districts</p>
<p>&#8211;  Aid bonus for districts that meet new minimum-day requirements</td>
<td width="360">&#8211;  Reworking of how students are counted for the funding formula</p>
<p>&#8211;  Creation of a new evidence-based home reading program</p>
<p>&#8211;  Increase in teacher salaries</p>
<p>&#8211;  Ability to implement pay differentiation for certain hard-to-staff teachers</p>
<p>&#8211;  Creation of a scholarship program targeting hard-to-staff subject areas and schools</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>My colleagues and I will delve into the various reforms in the days and weeks ahead, but here the focus will be on the new procedures and requirements relating to the four-day school week (4dsw).</p>
<p>First, this bill would establish a new voting procedure for larger districts that want to use a 4dsw schedule.</p>
<p>Under the new procedures in the bill, the district school board must pass the measure to implement a 4dsw. Then, the school board–approved proposal will go to a vote by the public. The vote would take place at the next date available for public elections. If a majority of votes are in favor, the 4dsw will be established.</p>
<p>However, this provision is limited, as this requirement only applies to school districts located wholly or partially in a county with a <a href="https://www.mocounties.com/missouri-county-classifications">charter form of government</a>, or located wholly or partially in a city with more than 30,000 inhabitants.</p>
<p>Essentially, this provision would be <a href="https://worldpopulationreview.com/states/cities/missouri">limited</a> to school districts in or partially in St. Louis, Kansas City, Jefferson County, Clay County, St. Charles County, St. Joseph, Springfield, Columbia, Joplin, Jefferson City, and Cape Girardeau. According to my analysis of the bill language, only around 100 school districts and charter schools (about 20% of districts and charters) will be subject to this voting provision.</p>
<p>This voting measure would likely better represent parental preferences, but why are smaller communities excluded from this new policy? Additionally, without <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/education/model-policy-open-enrollment-in-missouri/">open enrollment</a> or greater educational choice policies in Missouri, there will still be numerous families <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/20231201-Survey-Shuls_Frank.pdf">trapped in a 4dsw district</a> despite preferring a different schedule.</p>
<p>This bill also includes reforms regarding the minimum number of school days for districts. Back in 2018, <a href="https://www.senate.mo.gov/18info/BTS_Web/Bill.aspx?SessionType=R&amp;BillID=69471840">SB 743 changed instructional time requirements</a> in Missouri. At that time, public schools were required to be in session a minimum of 174 days and 1,044 hours a year—but with SB 743, the requirement became only 1,044 hours with no required number of days. Following this change (which took effect in the 2019–20 school year), the number of 4dsw districts in Missouri shot up from <a href="https://apps.dese.mo.gov/MCDS/home.aspx">34 to 62</a>, and has since increased to 173 in 2023–2024, according to my own calculations.</p>
<p>SB 727 would re-establish a minimum number of required days in a school year (the 1,044 hour minimum will also remain in place):</p>
<ul>
<li>169 days for five-day school week districts</li>
<li>142 days for four-day school week districts</li>
</ul>
<p>This provision is also limited. The minimum number of days requirement, as with the voting provision, will only apply to school districts in the larger cities and counties mentioned above. Of those roughly 100 districts, only five use a 4dsw, and all already meet the 142-day minimum requirement. In fact, around 87% of all 4dsw districts in 2022–2023 had 142 or more instructional days. (It should be noted that the 169-day limit for 5dsw districts is still rather low—over 30 states have a minimum of <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/09/07/in-the-u-s-180-days-of-school-is-most-common-but-length-of-school-day-varies-by-state/">180 days</a> or more. Not a single district or charter school in Missouri reached 180 instructional days in 2022–2023, outside of two charter Pre-K programs.)</p>
<p>While smaller districts may not be subject to the minimum day requirement, SB 727 has a separate provision that incentivizes creating more school days in a different way.</p>
<p>The bill states that any district that provided 169 school days or more will be remitted an amount equal to 1% of its annual state aid entitlement for fiscal years 2026 and 2027, and 2% for 2028 and onward. All monies from this additional aid must be used exclusively to increase teacher salaries. If a district does not meet the 169-day minimum, it is not punished, but it does not receive the extra money. This provision appears to be an attempt to incentivize a five-day school week schedule.</p>
<p>In a <a href="chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https:/showmeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/20231101-Systematic-Lit-Review-Shuls-Frank.pdf">recently published literature review</a> that I authored with James Shuls, we noted that districts justify their move to a 4dsw based on district finances or teacher retention and recruitment. Using numbers from the 2022–2023 school year and assumptions based on what the SB 727 <a href="https://senate.mo.gov/FiscalNotes/2024-1/3329S.24P.ORG.pdf">fiscal note</a> includes, I found that a 1% aid bonus would equate to an average of around $24,000 for districts that used a 4dsw in the 2022–2023 school year and a 2% aid bonus would equate to an average of around $48,000. On average, a 2% aid bonus for 4dsw districts would be equivalent to around 0.6% of a 4dsw district’s <a href="https://moschoolrankings.org/">total expenses</a>—not a huge sum to incentivize a major schedule change.</p>
<p>(For 5dsw districts, the average 2% aid bonus is around $173,000—equating to an average 0.5% of their expenses. It should also be noted that these calculations are based on 532 of the 553 districts and charters).</p>
<p>In 2022–2023, around <a href="https://apps.dese.mo.gov/MCDS/home.aspx">466 school districts</a> and charters did not have 169 instructional days or more. About 30 districts and charters had 168 days of instruction, and about 110 districts and charters had 164 to 167 days of instruction. SB 727 will most likely move all of these districts to 169 days and incentivize other 5dsw districts to increase instructional days. If the goal of this part of the bill is to increase the number of days most Missouri students are in school, SB 727 could accomplish this.</p>
<p>However, if the goal of this part of the bill is to begin moving the 173 4dsw districts back to a 5dsw, this provision will probably be ineffective. It is too little money for too big a change, and many districts may argue that the savings they receive from using a 4dsw is higher than the aid they could receive. The fiscal note for this bill estimates that the state could end up paying districts $75 million via these bonuses. If there’s extra money lying around, wouldn’t it be better to spend it on something else, such as increasing funding for the ESA program?</p>
<p>With talks of <a href="https://www.wsiltv.com/news/missouri/local-school-district-opts-for-a-4-day-school-week/article_618e49d0-e1bf-11ee-85b3-0b4cfa4833b9.html">more districts</a> potentially moving to a 4dsw in the 2024–2025 school year, it will be interesting to see if the 4dsw will continue to rapidly grow in Missouri. For now, it does not appear that SB 727 creates any significant incentive to buck that trend.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/education/how-will-the-four-day-school-week-progress-in-light-of-sb-727/">How Will the Four-day School Week Progress in Light of SB 727?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>Show-Me Energy: Decommissioning Power Plants Part 2</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/energy/show-me-energy-decommissioning-power-plants-part-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Feb 2024 01:08:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/show-me-energy-decommissioning-power-plants-part-2/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The decommissioning of coal plants is happening across the nation. Senate Bill (SB) 757 would mandate that prior to closing an electricity-generating power plant, there needs to be a new [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/energy/show-me-energy-decommissioning-power-plants-part-2/">Show-Me Energy: Decommissioning Power Plants Part 2</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The decommissioning of <a href="https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=40212">coal plants</a> is happening across the nation. Senate Bill (SB) 757 <a href="https://legiscan.com/MO/text/SB757/2024">would mandate</a> that prior to closing an electricity-generating power plant, there needs to be a new power plant ready to replace it with equal or greater nameplate capacity This bill is being proposed as an attempt to try to smoothen this energy transition for Missouri consumers. In the near future, many <a href="https://www.ameren.com/missouri/company/about-ameren/energy-centers">Missouri plants</a> such as Rush Island in Jefferson County (2024), Sioux in St. Charles County (2032), and Labadie in Franklin County (half 2036, half 2042) will be taken offline (The years in parentheses signify Ameren’s <a href="https://www.ameren.com/missouri/company/environment-and-sustainability/integrated-resource-plan">preferred timelin</a>e to close these plants.)</p>
<p>If you clicked on this post without reading <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/blog/energy/show-me-energy-decommissioning-power-plants-part-1/">Part 1,</a> I encourage you to go back and read Part 1. In that post, I defined some of the energy jargon used in this debate. This post will focus on the provisions of SB 757.</p>
<p><em><u>Does SB 757 address capacity factor and dispatchability?</u></em></p>
<p>The bill does not explicitly mention capacity factor or dispatchability. Here is a passage from the bill text:</p>
<blockquote><p>The new replacement reliable electric generation shall be equal to or greater than the full nameplate capacity of any existing electric generating power plant and shall be certified as an equal or greater amount of <strong>reliable electric generation</strong> by the Missouri public service commission and the regional reliability organization in which the electric utility company operates. (emphasis added)</p></blockquote>
<p>Unless the public service commission comes up with its own system of power accreditation, it seems this bill will hinge on the actions of our regional reliability organizations.</p>
<p>While I will not go into all of the specific details, the two main regional energy organizations in Missouri—Midcontinent Independent System Operator (<a href="https://www.misoenergy.org/">MISO</a>) and Southwest Power Pool (<a href="https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fspp.org%2Fdocuments%2F45078%2Fresource%2520adequacy%2520workbook%2520instruction%2520manual%25201-18-2024.docx&amp;wdOrigin=BROWSELINK">SPP</a>)—have outlined their resource accreditation process for rating power sources and individual power plants (you can read MISO’s method <a href="https://cdn.misoenergy.org/MISO%20Draft%20Resource%20Accreditation%20Design%20White%20Paper628865.pdf">here</a>). MISO’s plan “informs long-term investment and retirement decisions by accurately representing the capacity value of a resource in the prompt year.”</p>
<p>What a statement like that means is that MISO (and SPP also) account for capacity factor and value on the grid by examining different yearly, monthly, and daily variables—all with declared intentions to “<a href="https://www.utilitydive.com/news/ferc-spp-power-pool-capacity-accreditation-wind-solar/644253/">maintain reliability</a>.”</p>
<p>However, we should still be cautious, as utilities also can miscalculate or serve other agendas. For example, California has dramatically increased its amount of renewable energy sources in the past 10 years, which now account for<a href="https://www.eia.gov/state/print.php?sid=CA"> up to 42%</a> of its net electricity generation. In the same timeframe, California has cut its nuclear supply by over half, down to 8%. As a result, the dispatchability problem has reared its ugly head in recent years, as in 2020 California had power outages due to insufficient energy for the <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/california-blackouts-power-grid/story?id=89460998">first time in over 20 years</a>. Sadly, 2020 wasn’t the end of California’s power <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2022/09/23/californias-lofty-climate-goals-clash-with-reality-00058466">struggles</a>, as problems have <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/california-blackouts-power-grid/story?id=89460998">continued</a>. California’s regional reliability organization, California Independent System Operator (CAISO), has even at times <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/california-heat-blackout-risk-power-rationing/">called for</a> residents to “use less power between 4 and 9 p.m.” Whether it was due to miscalculation or prioritizing other agendas, Californians are struggling because of a lack of dispatchability and reliability.</p>
<p>That brings me to my main questions concerning SB 787. Can Missouri citizens confidently rely on these regional reliability organizations (MISO, SPP) to protect their energy needs? Will these organizations continue to prioritize both capacity and dispatchability? Is there a way to ensure that other agendas are not prioritized over our energy needs?</p>
<p>On its face, this bill appears to add protection for Missourians, but these questions are worth answering. If there is any possible room for interpretation, shouldn’t it be made clear that both nameplate capacity and dispatchability must be taken into account?</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/energy/show-me-energy-decommissioning-power-plants-part-2/">Show-Me Energy: Decommissioning Power Plants Part 2</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>TIF Decisions Should Be Made at the County, Not City, Level</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/subsidies/tif-decisions-should-be-made-at-the-county-not-city-level/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Dec 2023 03:12:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Corporate Welfare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Subsidies]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/tif-decisions-should-be-made-at-the-county-not-city-level/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The simplest thing Missouri can do to improve the decision-making process for tax increment financing (TIF) is move the responsibility for it to the county level. Cities in Missouri are [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/subsidies/tif-decisions-should-be-made-at-the-county-not-city-level/">TIF Decisions Should Be Made at the County, Not City, Level</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The simplest thing Missouri can do to improve the decision-making process for tax increment financing (TIF) is move the responsibility for it to the county level. Cities in Missouri are only too happy to give up the small amount of property tax they receive to get more sales taxes. This leads to a <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/subsidies/tax-increment-financing-and-missouri-an-overview-of-how-tif-impacts-local-jurisdictions/">crisscrossed incentive system</a> by which cities make choices that<em> might</em> be good for them, but clearly hurt the larger region.</p>
<p>Taxing bodies that depend entirely on property taxes get crushed by the choices that cities make. Often, voters in those taxing bodies don’t live within the city that makes the decisions and cannot punish or reward elected officials with their votes. The most obvious example of this <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/blog/subsidies/shrewsbury-tif-is-dead-for-now/">was in Shrewsbury</a>, but it happens all over the place. With county TIF commissions, voters can hold elected officials responsible for the subsidy choices that they make.</p>
<p>Five counties currently have county TIF commissions: St. Louis, Clay, Cass, St. Charles, and Jefferson. Counties that use the county TIF commission mechanism have been more careful and judicious in the use of TIF than counties where municipalities dominate the decision-making process. This is <a href="https://www.stltoday.com/news/article_fc80f2f0-071e-11e1-ad51-0019bb30f31a.html">particularly true in St. Charles</a> and Jefferson counties, but even in St. Louis it has been better overall. St. Louis County thankfully <a href="https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/metro/st-louis-county-opposition-trips-up-maryland-heights-tif-plan/article_e81f7fc1-55ca-5560-9920-6b7c264911f0.html">rejected the odious Maryland Heights proposal</a>, but it has <a href="https://www.stltoday.com/news/local/metro/353m-in-tax-breaks-advance-for-downtown-chesterfield-projects/article_22173f1e-d3d1-5f16-a717-6d0b84df9909.html">also approved other bad subsidies</a> (e.g., <a href="https://www.westnewsmagazine.com/david-stokes-of-show-me-institute/image_e4561dd0-5beb-11ed-8416-63d811774432.html">the Chesterfield TIF</a>). Clay County and Cass County are fairly new to this list, so it remains to be seen if they will be better or not.</p>
<p>The exact statutory language is in <a href="https://revisor.mo.gov/main/OneSection.aspx?section=99.820&amp;bid=49967&amp;hl=">RSMO: 99.820.3(1).</a> Personally, I think that Greene, Platte, Franklin, Boone, and Camden counties should be the next five added to this list. Earlier this year <a href="https://www.komu.com/news/midmissourinews/osage-beach-tif-commission-to-meet-on-oasis-at-lakeport-financing/article_7005edcc-b9fe-11ed-b247-97fb9d9cf9a4.html">in Osage Beach</a> (Camden County), I testified at a hearing where all 6 members of the TIF Commission from the city instituted a TIF over the objections of the representatives from the county and school district. That is how TIF works, and it is terrible.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/subsidies/tif-decisions-should-be-made-at-the-county-not-city-level/">TIF Decisions Should Be Made at the County, Not City, Level</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>Veto Session, Tax Freeze, and Holding Students Back</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/corporate-welfare/veto-session-tax-freeze-and-holding-students-back/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 Sep 2023 23:41:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Accountability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Budget and Spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Welfare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education Finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Municipal Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Performance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Property Rights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State and Local Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Subsidies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tax Credits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Welfare]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/veto-session-tax-freeze-and-holding-students-back/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>David Stokes, Elias Tsapelas, and Avery Frank join Zach Lawhorn to discuss the veto session, freezing property taxes for seniors in St. Charles County, the formation of a committee on [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/corporate-welfare/veto-session-tax-freeze-and-holding-students-back/">Veto Session, Tax Freeze, and Holding Students Back</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>David Stokes, Elias Tsapelas, and Avery Frank join Zach Lawhorn to discuss the veto session, freezing property taxes for seniors in St. Charles County, the formation of a committee on the St. Louis earnings tax, and more.</p>
<p><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/show-me-institute-podcast/id1141088545" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on Apple Podcasts </a></p>
<p><a href="https://soundcloud.com/show-me-institute" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on SoundCloud</a></p>
<p><iframe title="Spotify Embed: Veto Session, Tax Freeze, and Holding Students Back" style="border-radius: 12px" width="100%" height="152" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen allow="autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; fullscreen; picture-in-picture" loading="lazy" src="https://open.spotify.com/embed/episode/7qgW06wksuq5NznNQsgvV9?si=rijMq7KuSxKYo04BsDR0tg&amp;utm_source=oembed"></iframe></p>
<p>Produced by Show-Me Opportunity</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/corporate-welfare/veto-session-tax-freeze-and-holding-students-back/">Veto Session, Tax Freeze, and Holding Students Back</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>St. Charles County Bill 5221 / Property Tax Rate Freeze for Senior Citizens</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/taxes/st-charles-county-bill-5221-property-tax-rate-freeze-for-senior-citizens/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Sep 2023 02:19:24 +0000</pubDate>
				<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/publications/st-charles-county-bill-5221-property-tax-rate-freeze-for-senior-citizens/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>On September 11 Show-Me Institute Director of Municipal Policy David Stokes submits testimony to the St. Charles County Council regarding residential property taxes. Click here to view the full testimony.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/taxes/st-charles-county-bill-5221-property-tax-rate-freeze-for-senior-citizens/">St. Charles County Bill 5221 / Property Tax Rate Freeze for Senior Citizens</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On September 11 Show-Me Institute Director of Municipal Policy David Stokes submits testimony to the St. Charles County Council regarding residential property taxes. Click <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/20230911-St-Charles-Prop-Tax-Bill-5221-Stokes.pdf">here</a> to view the full testimony.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/taxes/st-charles-county-bill-5221-property-tax-rate-freeze-for-senior-citizens/">St. Charles County Bill 5221 / Property Tax Rate Freeze for Senior Citizens</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>So, What Exactly Should Missouri Do about Property Taxes and Assessments?</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/so-what-exactly-should-missouri-do-about-property-taxes-and-assessments/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Aug 2023 21:20:34 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/so-what-exactly-should-missouri-do-about-property-taxes-and-assessments/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Property assessment increases are driving people crazy throughout Missouri. People love it when their homes increase in value, except when they hate that their homes increase in value. High inflation [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/so-what-exactly-should-missouri-do-about-property-taxes-and-assessments/">So, What Exactly Should Missouri Do about Property Taxes and Assessments?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Property assessment increases are driving people crazy throughout Missouri. People <a href="https://www.edinarealty.com/real-estate-advice/benefits-of-a-higher-property-value#:~:text=Short%2Dterm%20benefits%20of%20a%20higher%20property%20value&amp;text=These%20insurance%20payments%20are%20based,%2Dto%2Dvalue%20ratio%20decreases.">love it when their homes increase</a> in value, except when <a href="https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article276795666.html">they hate that their homes increase</a> in value. High inflation means that local governments will not have to roll their rates back this year as much as in prior years, so the combo of high assessment increases and small rate rollbacks will likely mean substantial tax increases for many Missourians later this year. Obviously, politicians want to address this high-profile issue.</p>
<p>Wanting to do something to address higher property assessments and taxes should not mean doing the wrong thing, though, and <a href="https://senate.mo.gov/23info/BTS_Web/Bill.aspx?SessionType=R&amp;BillID=44564">doing the wrong thing is where we are headed</a>. Giving one population group a tax or assessment freeze, as state law allows counties to do this year and which many are considering, <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/20230605-STL-CO-Bill-114-Prop-Tax-Cut-Senior-Citizens-Stokes.pdf">is wrong for reasons you can read here</a>. A more comprehensive limit on the rise in assessed valuations or taxes, similar to what California famously did with <a href="https://www.maxwell.syr.edu/docs/default-source/research/cpr/property-tax-webinar-series/2022-2023/fisher-p13-accessible.pdf?sfvrsn=2c017df_4">Prop 13 in 1978, is also the wrong thing to do</a>. Proposition 13 has certainly had its intended effect of making it easier for California residents to stay in their own homes. However, it has also reduced mobility, dramatically increased alternative taxes, limited homeownership opportunities, and caused substantial tax disparities among similar properties receiving similar services. <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/20230605-STL-CO-Bill-114-Prop-Tax-Cut-Senior-Citizens-Stokes.pdf">This is not what we need for Missouri</a>.</p>
<p>The easiest way to address that—for local governments to voluntarily roll their tax rates back more than legally required (as <a href="https://fox2now.com/news/missouri/st-charles-county-to-lower-tax-rates-amid-spike-in-used-car-values/">St. Charles County did in 2022</a>)—is unlikely to happen in most places and especially unlikely for school districts, which make up the bulk of your tax bill. So, what else can we do about property taxes and assessments?</p>
<p>There are things people and government can do in the short term to make the overall process better. Right now, people should be pressuring their local officials to roll tax rates back, <a href="https://www.kansascity.com/news/local/article235435782.html">especially the Kansas City school district</a> which is the only taxing body in the state exempt from rate rollbacks. Removing that <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Missouri_Kansas_City_School_Operating_Levy,_Amendment_3_(April_1998)">constitutional exemption for KCSD</a> should also be a high priority. That would involve amending the state constitution, but it should be a high priority to get that on the ballot in the next legislative session.</p>
<p>While we are addressing short-term impacts and constitutional changes, <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/blog/taxes/a-letter-to-the-editor-roll-back-personal-property-tax-rates/">adding personal property to the tax rate rollback requirements</a> should absolutely be done. In 2021 and 2022, many local governments enjoyed a <a href="https://www.kmov.com/2022/12/03/mo-drivers-see-high-personal-property-taxes-due-unusual-spike-vehicle-values/">windfall from increased used car values.</a> That is not how the system is supposed to work.</p>
<p>Finally, did you know that a <a href="https://stc.mo.gov/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2021/02/2020-Recommendations.pdf">few counties require certificates of value</a> to be filed with the assessor when property is sold but most do not? We should require them statewide to help make assessments more accurate, especially in rural areas.</p>
<p>In my next post, I’ll discuss what we can do in the long run to make our property tax and assessment system better.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/so-what-exactly-should-missouri-do-about-property-taxes-and-assessments/">So, What Exactly Should Missouri Do about Property Taxes and Assessments?</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>Government Surveillance, Vetoes, and Missouri Vs. Florida</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/government-surveillance-vetoes-and-missouri-vs-florida/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Jul 2023 02:43:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Budget and Spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corporate Welfare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Municipal Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Property Rights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State and Local Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transparency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transportation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/government-surveillance-vetoes-and-missouri-vs-florida/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>David Stokes, Elias Tsapelas, and Avery Frank join Zach Lawhorn to discuss more than $500 million in line-item vetoes by Governor Parson, the plan to increase the use of license [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/government-surveillance-vetoes-and-missouri-vs-florida/">Government Surveillance, Vetoes, and Missouri Vs. Florida</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>David Stokes, Elias Tsapelas, and Avery Frank join Zach Lawhorn to discuss more than $500 million in line-item vetoes by Governor Parson, the plan to increase the use of license plate readers in St. Charles County, what Missouri can learn from Florida public policy, and more.</p>
<p><a href="https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/show-me-institute-podcast/id1141088545" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on Apple Podcasts </a></p>
<p><a href="https://www.stitcher.com/show/showme-institute-podcast" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on Stitcher </a></p>
<p><a href="https://soundcloud.com/show-me-institute" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Listen on SoundCloud</a></p>
<p>Produced by Show-Me Opportunity</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/government-surveillance-vetoes-and-missouri-vs-florida/">Government Surveillance, Vetoes, and Missouri Vs. Florida</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>The System We Have Is Not the System We’ve Had</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/school-choice/the-system-we-have-is-not-the-system-weve-had/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jun 2023 23:39:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[School Choice]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/the-system-we-have-is-not-the-system-weve-had/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Make no mistake—enrollment in public education in Missouri is shrinking. Last year, we had about 863,000 students, down three percent from a high of 895,000 students in 2007. The National [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/school-choice/the-system-we-have-is-not-the-system-weve-had/">The System We Have Is Not the System We’ve Had</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Make no mistake—enrollment in public education in Missouri is <a href="https://nces.ed.gov/ccd/">shrinking</a>. Last year, we had about 863,000 students, down three percent from a high of 895,000 students in 2007. The National Center for Education Statistics projects that we will drop another seven percent by 2031, potentially falling below 800,000 students for the first time since the 1990s.</p>
<p>Sure, enrollment in many of our already small rural districts has declined so much that it raises the question of how the districts can continue to exist. But that’s not the whole story. Some of the “best” districts in St. Louis County have been experiencing steady enrollment declines. In 2017–18, the Clayton School District had almost 2,800 students. Last year, it had fewer than 2,400. A loss of four hundred students in a district of that size is significant. Similarly, Parkway C-2 has lost 1,000 students in the past few years, going from nearly 18,000 students in 2018–19 to fewer than 17,000. Rockwood, which had nearly 23,000 students a decade ago, now has just under 21,000, having lost 1,900 students from its high-water mark.</p>
<p>In fact, every district other than Ladue and Lindbergh has seen enrollment losses since 2010. But their gains of approximately 2,300 students don’t come close to offsetting the countywide loss of over 11,000. St. Louis County’s neighbor, St. Charles County, shows similar trends. The biggest districts are down by thousands of students.</p>
<p>So what does this mean? Even with no boundary changes, we will have excess capacity and too many teachers in most districts unless we make the region and the state more attractive to families. Districts can no longer rest on their laurels and assume their classrooms will be filled. Programs that allow parents to choose a school for each of their children and that allow districts to specialize in what they offer should be welcomed. Those hard district lines meant to keep students out may need to become more porous.</p>
<p>Public education in Missouri is no longer a system of more—more students, more teachers, more school buildings, more money. It’s a shrinking system, and that will bring difficult decisions. It’s time to start thinking about how we can design a smarter system to better serve our region.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/school-choice/the-system-we-have-is-not-the-system-weve-had/">The System We Have Is Not the System We’ve Had</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>A Letter to the Editor: Roll Back Personal Property Tax Rates</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/a-letter-to-the-editor-of-the-emissourian-roll-back-personal-property-tax-rates/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Sep 2022 21:55:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/a-letter-to-the-editor-roll-back-personal-property-tax-rates/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Used car values have risen dramatically in Missouri. Prices for used cars increased 25 percent in 2021 alone. Because Missouri is one of the only states with a personal property [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/a-letter-to-the-editor-of-the-emissourian-roll-back-personal-property-tax-rates/">A Letter to the Editor: Roll Back Personal Property Tax Rates</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Used car values have risen dramatically in Missouri. Prices for used cars increased 25 percent in 2021 alone. Because Missouri is one of the only states with a personal property tax on cars, that increase is going to hit taxpayers hard come December.</p>
<p>The personal property tax is exempt from our Hancock Amendment rules on rolling back property tax rates as values increase. As car values have typically declined over time, this has not been a problem in the past. But with used car values increasing and no tax rollback required, local governments around Missouri will see an unexpected windfall in property tax payments this year. That is not how the tax system is supposed to operate.</p>
<p>There is a solution here. Local elected officials, including county, city, and school district representatives, should voluntarily roll their tax rates back once property valuations are finalized. St. Charles County government has taken the lead on this, and other local governments around the state should do the same for their residents. The personal property tax rate is unconnected to the real property tax rate, and rolling it back to a revenue-neutral level is simple, allowable, and—most importantly—good public policy.</p>
<p>Local governments in Missouri are awash in federal stimulus and COVID-relief funds, while ordinary citizens are getting hammered by inflation. Cities, counties, and school districts don’t need another bonanza on the backs of Missouri taxpayers. Rolling personal property tax rates back is the right thing to do.</p>
<p>Link to the letter on the EMissourian site <a href="https://www.emissourian.com/opinion/letters/roll-back-personal-property-tax/article_3c9834f4-1e45-11ed-a25b-1f35afd797a3.html">here.</a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/a-letter-to-the-editor-of-the-emissourian-roll-back-personal-property-tax-rates/">A Letter to the Editor: Roll Back Personal Property Tax Rates</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>Good News on Property Taxes in St. Charles and Clay Counties</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/good-new-on-property-taxes-in-st-charles-and-clay-counties/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Aug 2022 21:31:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/good-news-on-property-taxes-in-st-charles-and-clay-counties/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Used car prices have risen dramatically over the past few years. That will hit Missouri car owners hard in the tax column this year. Car owners are used to seeing [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/good-new-on-property-taxes-in-st-charles-and-clay-counties/">Good News on Property Taxes in St. Charles and Clay Counties</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Used car prices have risen dramatically over the past few years. That will hit Missouri car owners hard in the tax column this year. Car owners are used to seeing the taxable value of their used cars decline slightly each year, but with <a href="https://www.kbb.com/car-news/used-car-prices-increasing-again/">used car values increasing,</a> personal property taxes will rise substantially.</p>
<p>According to information I have received, personal property tax revenues are expected to increase by more than 20 percent in the following counties: St Louis, Jackson, Warren, Lincoln, Cape Girardeau, St. Charles, and St. Louis City. <a href="https://spectrumlocalnews.com/mo/st-louis/news/2022/07/11/temporary-tax-cut-could-come-to-st--charles-county-to-ease-personal-property-tax-increase">St. Charles County is taking the lead here</a>; the county council <a href="https://www.sccmo.org/AgendaCenter/ViewFile/Minutes/_07112022-1527">passed a resolution</a> declaring its intention to reduce the personal property tax rate this fall (after final numbers are in) to a revenue-neutral level to offset the large increase in assessed valuations. Good for them. Many local governments in Missouri need to follow this example, especially school districts, which receive the bulk of your property tax payments. Increased used car valuations should not be a revenue windfall for local governments.</p>
<p>I commend the St. Charles County Council and the county executive for this move. Hopefully others will follow the example of St. Charles County. I would love to see <a href="https://truman.missouri.edu/sites/default/files/publication/17-2012-hancock-amendment.pdf">Hancock Amendment</a> <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/publication/state-and-local-government/show-me-institutes-june-2022-newsletter/">rollback provisions</a> extended to personal property in the future. (Now they only apply to land and buildings.)</p>
<p>On the other side of the state, Clay County is moving forward with <a href="https://www.kshb.com/news/local-news/clay-county-residents-to-vote-on-reducing-county-surtax-on-commercial-property">the first commercial surcharge property tax reduction</a> in Missouri history. The <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/20220621-Stokes-Commercial-Surcharge-Clay-County-1.pdf">county commission approved</a> placing it before the voters on the November ballot. Clay County has one of the highest commercial surcharges in the state, and this proposal for a modest reduction to match Jackson County’s level is a smart, reasonable one. (For the reasons why the rate can only be lowered by voters, why Clay County’s rate is so high, and more history of this special tax, <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/blog/taxes/large-counties-should-reduce-their-commercial-property-tax-surcharges/">please read this</a>.)</p>
<p>I also commend the Clay County Commission and the rest of the Clay County leadership team for putting this proposal before the voters of their community. There are a few other counties that I think need to strongly consider reducing their commercial surcharge taxes—I’m looking at you, Perry County.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/taxes/good-new-on-property-taxes-in-st-charles-and-clay-counties/">Good News on Property Taxes in St. Charles and Clay Counties</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>Tax Burden in Missouri&#8217;s 20 Largest Cities</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/tax-burden-in-missouris-20-largest-cities/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 18 May 2022 01:58:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://showmeinstitute.local/tax-burden-in-missouris-20-largest-cities/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>What do residents in Missouri&#8217;s largest cities pay in taxes, and what do they get for their money? This report explores these questions, breaking down various tax rates in each [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/tax-burden-in-missouris-20-largest-cities/">Tax Burden in Missouri&#8217;s 20 Largest Cities</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What do residents in Missouri&#8217;s largest cities pay in taxes, and what do they get for their money? This report explores these questions, breaking down various tax rates in each of the 20 cities examined in the context of the services provided to residents. Also provided is information about the fiscal soundness of each city (including pension obligations) as well as the amount of revenue each city gives up in tax abatements.</p>
<p>The cities covered in the report are:</p>
<ul>
<li>Ballwin</li>
<li>Blue Springs</li>
<li>Cape Girardeau</li>
<li>Chesterfield</li>
<li>Columbia</li>
<li>Florissant</li>
<li>Independence</li>
<li>Jefferson City</li>
<li>Joplin</li>
<li>Kansas City</li>
<li>Lee’s Summit</li>
<li>O’Fallon</li>
<li>Springfield</li>
<li>St. Charles</li>
<li>St. Joseph</li>
<li>City of St. Louis</li>
<li>St. Peters</li>
<li>University City</li>
<li>Wentzville</li>
<li>Wildwood</li>
</ul>
<p>Click <strong><a href="https://issuu.com/showmemo/docs/20220401_-_missouri_s_top_20_cities_-_baier">here</a></strong> to read more, or download the report by clicking on the link below.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/economy/tax-burden-in-missouris-20-largest-cities/">Tax Burden in Missouri&#8217;s 20 Largest Cities</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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		<title>Event: Election Security Panel with Kinder Institute (Columbia)</title>
		<link>https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/election-security-panel-with-kinder-institute-columbia/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Jan 2022 23:51:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[State and Local Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Transparency]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://showme.beanstalkweb.com/article/uncategorized/election-security-panel-with-kinder-institute-columbia/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>You are invited to join the Show-Me Institute and the Kinder Institute on Constitutional Democracy for an expert panel discussion on election security on February 17. Four election officials will [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/election-security-panel-with-kinder-institute-columbia/">Event: Election Security Panel with Kinder Institute (Columbia)</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You are invited to join the Show-Me Institute and the Kinder Institute on Constitutional Democracy for an expert panel discussion on election security on February 17. Four election officials will explain how they currently keep Missouri’s elections secure, offer suggestions for how to improve election security, and answer questions from the audience. We hope to see you there.</p>
<p>Panelists:</p>
<ul>
<li>Eric Fey, St. Louis County Democratic Director of Elections</li>
<li>Brianna Lennon, Boone County Clerk</li>
<li>Kurt Bahr, St. Charles County Director of Elections</li>
<li>Shane Shoeller, Green County Clerk</li>
</ul>
<h1 style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://www.eventbrite.com/e/election-security-panel-at-mizzou-tickets-229432277117">Register</a></h1>
<p style="text-align: center;">This event is sponsored by Show-Me Institute, Show-Me Opportunity, and Kinder Institute on Constitutional Democracy.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org/article/state-and-local-government/election-security-panel-with-kinder-institute-columbia/">Event: Election Security Panel with Kinder Institute (Columbia)</a> appeared first on <a href="https://showmeinstitute.org">Show-Me Institute</a>.</p>
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